$BTC has been hovering below $62K since August 9, struggling to break above the new resistance level. The drop from its recent height of $70K was caused by the stock market turmoil that triggered FUD among investors.
Although $BTC rebounded from $49K, its former all-time high of $73K appears to be out of reach.
Analysts at Kraken share a pessimistic outlook: if $BTC fails to hit $62K soon enough, it could drop below $50K.
$BTC’s Next Move – Bullish or Bearish?
Kraken notes that $BTC needs to hit $62K and stay there to avoid a retest of $49K. However, some analysts argue that $BTC’s price action shows a corrective pattern, not a bullish trend.
Moreover, $BTC’s current price of $61K is near its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $59K, which gives more weight to the recent data. This suggests that the market may be experiencing indecision or a potential shift in trend.
On the other hand, the US FED’s upcoming expansionary policies are likely to favor $BTC bulls.
Markus Theilen at 10x Research also believes that $BTC is poised for a short squeeze, which typically increases the asset’s price as investors who shorted it strive to cover their positions.
Traders Share a Positive Outlook
Similar to Kraken, an analyst and trader, Decode notes that $BTC must rebound to $63K by the month’s end to get back on the upward track.
While $BTC lost momentum and the September trend doesn’t look exciting, Decode is bullish for Q4.
Another X user expects $BTC to break its resistance level within the next seven days. Many anticipate $BTC to follow gold, saying, ‘It’s a matter of when, not if.’
Closing Remarks
The market’s indecision, as indicated by the proximity to the 200-day EMA, and the potential for a downward trend create a cautious outlook for the short term.
Yet, HODLers are bullish for the future.
References
- FOMC Meeting Calendar (FED)
- MMCrypto (X)
- Decode (X)
- Bitcoin (CoinMarketCap)
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