Emmys: Lead Actress (Comedy) — How Quinta Brunson or Ayo Edebiri Could Make History for Black Actresses

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Mary Ellen Matthews for Variety

Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 6, 2024): “Abbott Elementary” star and creator Quinta Brunson has made history at the Primetime Emmys for the past two years; the show’s inaugural season made her the first Black woman to be nominated for comedy series, writing and acting in the same year. She became the second Black woman to win the writing award.

For the sophomore season, despite the egregious writing snub (better not happen this time around), she became the second Black woman to win for acting after Isabel Sanford for “The Jeffersons.” This third season is her best outing yet as the bubbly and commanding teacher Janine Teagues. Can she double up again this year?

(Watch Brunson’s powerful Variety Actors on Actors conversation)

Meanwhile, at “The Bear,” Ayo Edebiri became the third Black woman to win in supporting comedy actress last year for her remarkable turn as young chef Sydney Adamu in FX’s critically acclaimed series. This year, she shifts her campaign gears into the lead category for the show’s sophomore season, already basking in the glow of Golden Globe and SAG awards.

If either Brunson or Edebiri claims victory, they would be only the second Black woman to win an Emmy acting prize for the same character twice. Uzo Aduba won two Emmys for her portrayal of “Crazy Eyes” on Netflix’s “Orange is the New Black” but in two separate categories—guest comedy actress in 2014 and supporting drama actress in 2015. While Edebiri would mimic a similar win map, Brunson would be the first in the same category.

Note: Regina King won two Emmys for the anthology crime drama “American Crime” in 2015 and 2016. However, she played different characters during the seasons.

And one piece for the history books — if Brunson and Edebiri are nominated alongside Maya Rudolph (“Loot”), it would mark the most Black women ever nominated in the same year for lead comedy actress. We should point to the other acclaimed performers in the race, such as Jaz Sinclair (“Gen V”), Renée Elise Goldsberry (“Girls5eva”), Diarra Kilpatrick (“Diarra from Detriot”) and Folake Olowofoyeku (“Bob Hearts Abishola”)

Primetime Emmy nomination voting begins on June 13.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

More from Variety