NOAA predicts 'above-normal' 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

NOAA predicts 'above-normal' 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
FOR JUST A FEW DAYS AWAY FROM THE OFFICIAL START OF HURRICANE SEASON, AND ANOTHER FORECAST IS PREDICTING AN ACTIVE SEASON. OUR RESIDENT HURRICANE EXPERT FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS BREAKS DOWN THIS NEW FORECAST. YEAH, SURE. SIGN THAT HURRICANE SEASON IS JUST A COUPLE OF DAYS AWAY. THE UNITED KINGDOM MET OFFICE PUT OUT THEIR ANNUAL FORECAST, AND IT’S LOOKING AT TRENDS OF OCEAN TEMPERATURES AND THE ADJUSTMENT FROM EL NINO LAST YEAR TO LA NINA THIS YEAR. AND THERE’S NO SURPRISE HERE. THEY’RE EXPECTING AN ACTIVE SEASON. TAKE A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS UK MET OFFICE CALLING FOR 22 NAMED STORMS 12 HURRICANES, FOUR MAJOR HURRICANES. THEY JOINED THE RANKS OF COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY AND WESH, CALLING FOR A HIGHER THAN AVERAGE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS. NOW, THE UK MET OFFICE DOES THEIR FORECAST A LITTLE DIFFERENTLY. THEY ACTUALLY RUN IT THROUGH SEVERAL DIFFERENT MODEL ON PLOTS. THE IDEA THERE IS THAT BY RUNNING IT THROUGH DIFFERENT COMPUTER FLAVORS OR SO, THEY CAN GET KIND OF A BROADER STROKE. LOOK AT SEASONAL FORECASTING TOMORROW. SO UP IN WASHINGTON DC, NOAA, THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION PUTS OUT THEIR FORECAST, USUALLY THE LAST ONE BEFORE HURRICANE SEASON. I’D BE WILLING TO BET IT WILL BE AN ACTIVE ONE IN THEIR FORECAST. AND OF COURSE, WE’LL HAVE IT FOR YOU TOMORROW. THAT’S THE LATEST FROM THE WEATHER CENTER ERIC BURRIS WESH TWO NEWS. THE BEST WAY TO BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE SEASON IS CHECKING OUT THE WESH TWO HURRICANE SURVIVAL GUIDE. JUST HEAD TO OUR WEBSITE WESH.COM TO DOWNLOAD YOUR COPY INSIDE YOU’LL FIND ALL THE ADVICE YOU NEED TO GET READY.
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NOAA predicts 'above-normal' 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
RELATED ABOVE: UK forecast calls for well-above average hurricane seasonThe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced their 2024 Atlantic hurricane season outlook on Thursday. Leaders from NOAA and the National Weather Service spoke from Washington D.C. about the expected storm, saying that La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are expected to drive an active season. NOAA is predicting an 85% chance of an above-normal season.Factors contributing to the above-average season include: near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear.Related: National Hurricane Center identifies disturbance in southwest Atlantic"NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher)," forecasters said.In 2023, NOAA forecasted just 1-4 major hurricanes. Experts discussed climate factors this season, NOAA's readiness, new products and upgrades to enhance forecasts. There was also guidance for people on how to prepare for the upcoming season. Read more here.The conference was led by Rick Spinrad, the NOAA administrator; Deanne Criswell, the FEMA administrator; and Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service.Hurricane season officially begins on June 1.

RELATED ABOVE: UK forecast calls for well-above average hurricane season

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced their 2024 Atlantic hurricane season outlook on Thursday.

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    Leaders from NOAA and the National Weather Service spoke from Washington D.C. about the expected storm, saying that La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are expected to drive an active season.

    NOAA is predicting an 85% chance of an above-normal season.

    Factors contributing to the above-average season include: near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear.

    "NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher)," forecasters said.

    In 2023, NOAA forecasted just 1-4 major hurricanes.

      Experts discussed climate factors this season, NOAA's readiness, new products and upgrades to enhance forecasts. There was also guidance for people on how to prepare for the upcoming season. Read more here.

      The conference was led by Rick Spinrad, the NOAA administrator; Deanne Criswell, the FEMA administrator; and Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service.

      Hurricane season officially begins on June 1.

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