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Through Tonight: We’ll continue to live in a precipitation lull much of this evening. There could be a passing shower, but anything more substantial should hold off until the overnight. Like last night, some rumbles are possible. Lows are expected to be within a few degrees of 50 as winds turn to come from the southeast.
View the current weather at The Washington Post.
Tomorrow (Tuesday): Some showers will be possible at times but not for much of the day. Odds of rain and thunderstorms will grow into the evening, when some could be strong. Temperatures are expected to be slow to rise through the 50s in most spots and might approach 60 in southern parts of the area. Winds should blow from the east and southeast around 10 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph.
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Tuesday storms? A relatively unusual Level 4 of 5 “moderate” risk for tornadoes has been centered on Ohio for Tuesday. That area should find itself in a prime location near a strengthening surface low pressure area while ensconced in a warm and humid air mass. Given ample spin in the atmosphere, tornadoes are likely, and some could be strong.
Around here, we’re probably locked in a different regime. Cold air damming, when chilly air gets stuck east of the Appalachians, should keep any major storm threat at bay. Storms to the west are expected to move into the region late Tuesday, and some may make it into western Virginia while still intense. Running into increasingly less favorable air here, it’s likely to be mainly rain and some rumbles with possible isolated hail to the size of quarters.
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