FX
Emmy Predictions: Comedy Series – Will ‘The Bear’ Cook Up Another Historic Sweep?
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Comedy Series
Commentary: FX’s “The Bear” has emerged from a historic inaugural season, after claiming 10 Emmys, including the coveted outstanding comedy series award. After shattering the record of most wins for a first season, surpassing Prime Video’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” which secured eight, people at the network are very optimistic for its next awards run.
Yet, amidst the dominance of recent Emmy sweepers like “Schitt’s Creek,” “The Crown,” “Succession,” and “Ted Lasso,” no show has returned to replicate such a remarkable feat. This leaves the upcoming TV awards season notably open, especially with the return of last year’s nominees: ABC’s mockumentary “Abbott Elementary” and Hulu’s mystery series “Only Murders in the Building,” both of which have yet to be properly awarded.
FX is also strategically positioning itself to reintroduce the former nominated “What We Do in the Shadows” into the conversation and aims for a long-deserved series mention for the final season of the critically acclaimed “Reservation Dogs.”
Adding to the mix is the sentimental appeal of Max’s “Curb Your Enthusiasm,” set to conclude its series run on April 7. The show, spearheaded by Larry David, has garnered nominations for 10 out of its 11 seasons in the comedy eeries category, in addition to accumulating a total of 47 nominations. But with only two wins: one for directing in 2003 and another for editing in 2012, will the TV Academy fully embrace it this time around?
Let’s also not forget the return of the twice-nominated “Hacks” from Max, which has been said to be “better than ever” by those who’ve watched parts of this third season. We fully expect Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder to be back in the mix once again.
Several new contenders have entered the fray this year, including Netflix’s “The Gentlemen” starring Theo James and Apple’s “Palm Royale” featuring Kristen Wiig, both of which could have pockets of support to get them into the lineup.
Paramount+ is banking on nostalgia with the “Frasier” reboot, hoping the TV Academy’s fondness for the original multicam series will translate into recognition once again. Additionally, Paramount+ is backing its Australian-based comedy “Colin From Accounts,” backed by a dedicated fanbase.
Traditional broadcast networks are also vying for attention, with CBS bolstering “Ghosts” as its audience grows, NBC aiming high with its family comedy “Extended Family,” and the rebooted second season of “Night Court.”
Lots of more shows worth considering as voters catch up on their favorite shows.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
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Image Credit: Disney/Gilles Mingasson
And the Predicted Nominees AreRank Series 1 “The Bear” (FX) 2 “Hacks” (Max) 3 “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) 4 “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu) 5 “Curb Your Enthusiasm” (Max) 6 “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) 7 “The Gentlemen” (Netflix) 8 “Reservation Dogs” (FX) Outstanding Comedy Series -
Image Credit: Pamela Littky/Paramount+
Next in LineRank Series 9 “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+) 10 “Ghosts” (CBS) 11 “Frasier” (Paramount+) 12 “Gen V” (Prime Video) 13 “I’m a Virgo” (Prime Video) 14 “The Righteous Gemstones” (Max) 15 “Girls5eva” (Netflix) Outstanding Comedy Series -
Image Credit: CBS
Also In ContentionRank Series 16 “Colin From Accounts” (Paramount+) 17 “Based on a True Story” (Peacock) 18 “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+) 19 “So Help Me Todd” (CBS) 20 “Upload” (Prime Video) 21 “Our Flag Means Death” (Max) 22 “The Brothers Sun” (Netflix) 23 “Extended Family” (NBC) 24 “Animal Control” (Fox) 25 “Platonic” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Comedy Series -
Eligible Titles (Comedy)
Image Credit: Brooke Palmer/Prime Video
**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.- “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- “The Conners” (ABC)
- “Home Economics” (ABC)
- “Not Dead Yet” (ABC)
- “The Wonder Years” (ABC)
- “The Afterparty” (Apple TV+)
- “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- “Loot” (Apple TV+)
- “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+)
- “Physical” (Apple TV+)
- “Platonic” (Apple TV+)
- “The Ms. Pat Show” (BET+)
- “Act Your Age” (Bounce TV)
- “Johnson” (Bounce TV)
- “Bob Hearts Abishola” (CBS)
- “Ghosts” (CBS)
- “The Neighborhood” (CBS)
- “So Help Me Todd” (CBS)
- “Big Mood” (Channel 4)
- “Awkwafina is Nora From Queens” (Comedy Central)
- “Animal Control” (Fox)
- “Grown-ish” (Freeform)
- “The Bear” (FX)
- “Breeders” (FX)
- “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
- “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
- “Life and Beth” (Hulu)
- “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- “This Fool” (Hulu)
- “And Just Like That” (Max)
- “Julia” (Max)
- “Our Flag Means Death” (Max)
- “The Righteous Gemstones” (Max)
- “Extended Family” (NBC)
- “Lopez vs. Lopez” (NBC)
- “Night Court” (NBC)
- “The Gentlemen” (Netflix)
- “Girls5eva” (Netflix)
- “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- “Colin From Accounts” (Paramount+)
- “Dreaming Whilst Black” (Paramount+)
- “Frasier” (Paramount+)
- “Based on a True Story” (Peacock)
- “Killing It” (Peacock)
- “Ted” (Peacock)
- “Twisted Metal” (Peacock)
- “Gen V” (Prime Video)
- “Good Omens” (Prime Video)
- “I’m a Virgo” (Prime Video)
- “Upload” (Prime Video)
- “Minx” (Starz)
- “Shining Vale” (Starz)
- “Resident Alien” (Syfy)
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More Information (Comedy)
Image Credit: HULU
2023 category winner: “The Bear” (FX) — Season 1 — Joanna Calo, Josh Senior, Christopher Storer and Hiro Murai, executive producers; Rene Gube, co-executive producer; Tyson Bidner, produced by
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- Feb. 29: Submissions open
- May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
- June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
- August 15: Final-round voting begins.
- August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
- Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Awards PredictionsDrama Comedy Limited/Movie Drama Series Comedy Series Limited or Anthology Series Lead Actor (Drama) Lead Actor (Comedy) Lead Actor (Limited, Movie) Lead Actress (Drama) Lead Actress (Comedy) Lead Actress (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actor (Drama) Supporting Actor (Comedy) Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actress (Drama) Supporting Actress (Comedy) Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie) Directing (Drama) Directing (Comedy) Directing (Limited, Movie) Writing (Drama) Writing (Comedy) Writing (Limited, Movie) Guest Actor (Drama) Guest Actor (Comedy) Television Movie Guest Actress (Drama) Guest Actress (Comedy) Casting (Limited, Movie) Casting (Drama) Casting (Comedy)
Other Awards PredictionsTalk Series Reality Competition Program Animated Program Scripted Variety Game Show Character Voice-Over Performance Variety Special (Live) Host for a Reality or Competition Program Narrator Variety Special (Pre-Recorded) Structured Reality Documentary (Series) Directing (Series, Special) Unstructured Reality Documentary (Special) Writing (Series, Special) Directing (Reality Program) Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special) Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision) Main Title Design Writing (Nonfiction) Short Form Series Short Form (Actor/Actress) Exceptional Merit
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.