Men's Bracketology: 2024 NCAA Tournament

By Joe Lunardi Updated: 3/15/2024 at 1:30 a.m. ET

Bracketology is in its 30th season on ESPN.com. From now until Selection Sunday this weekend, we'll keep you up to date on the postseason chances and projection of your favorite teams. We will culminate with daily updates throughout Champ Week, all with an eye toward the 2024 NCAA men's basketball tournament.

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The race for the final No. 1 seed could look like a game of checkers for the next two to three days. Tennessee and North Carolina entered their respective conference tournaments in a virtual tie for the spot. The Tar Heels pasted Florida State in their ACC quarterfinal while the Vols were idle, slipping ahead of Tennessee at least for the time being. The Vols play first on Friday, so we could see another swap before Carolina takes the floor Friday night in the ACC semifinals. If both teams win out, it says here the edge goes to Tennessee as its SEC wins will be of more value than whatever UNC can muster in the ACC. The Tar Heels have more to lose, however, as their likely path as a 2-seed would be in the East Region opposite UConn. That potential Elite Eight game would take place in Boston, which would be an advantage for the defending champion Huskies.

On the Bubble

Last Four Byes

Last Four In

First Four Out

Next Four Out

68-Team Bracket

MIDWEST (DETROIT)

Indianapolis

Spokane

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

WEST (LOS ANGELES)

Charlotte

Pittsburgh

Omaha

Salt Lake

EAST (BOSTON)

Brooklyn

Spokane

Brooklyn

Omaha

SOUTH (DALLAS)

Memphis

Salt Lake

Memphis

Charlotte

Conference Breakdown

Conference

Team

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RULES

ESPN's Bracketology efforts are focused on projecting the NCAA tournament field just as we expect the NCAA Division I basketball committee to select the field in March. ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi uses the same data points favored by the committee, including strength of schedule and other season-long indicators, including the NET and team-sheet data similar to what is available to the NCAA, in his projections of the field. Visit the NCAA's website for a fuller understanding of NCAA selection criteria.

68-Team Bracket

The 68-team bracket is the standard version of the NCAA tournament field that has been in place since 2011. If the 2021 field is comprised of 68 teams, there will be some key differences to past years, however.

The primary adjustment from a normal year is, of course, the playing of the entire NCAA tournament at a single site. This eliminates the need for geographical considerations in seeding. Additionally, there will be at least one fewer automatic qualifier this season, as the Ivy League's decision to forgo the 2020-21 season reduces the number of AQ entries to 31 for this season.

48-Team Bracket

In this projection, a condensed selection process would reduce the field by 10 at-large teams and 10 automatic qualifiers (the latter of which still receive a revenue unit). The top four seeds in each region would receive a bye into the second round, with four first-round games per region - 5 vs. 12, 6 vs. 11, 7 vs. 10 and 8 vs. 9 - being played without fans on the higher seed's home court.

To minimize travel, first-round pairings will be guided by geography to the greatest extent possible. And the reduced field results in only 32 teams competing at the central site. All participants must post a minimum .500 conference record - the "Lunardi Rule" - for at-large consideration.

16-Team Bracket

In this projection, the committee selects and seeds the 16 best available teams. There are no automatic qualifiers, although all non-competing conference champions receive the designated revenue unit.

To maintain some sense of national balance, conference participation is capped at four teams. And no region shall have more than one team from the same conference.

ESPN

Bracket Watch

Top Overall Seed

First Team Out

Last Team In

On the Bubble

Last Four Byes

Last Four In

First Four Out

Next Four Out

68-Team Bracket

MIDWEST (DETROIT)

Indianapolis

Spokane

Pittsburgh

Indianapolis

WEST (LOS ANGELES)

Charlotte

Pittsburgh

Omaha

Salt Lake

EAST (BOSTON)

Brooklyn

Spokane

Brooklyn

Omaha

SOUTH (DALLAS)

Memphis

Salt Lake

Memphis

Charlotte

Conference Breakdown

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