000 AXNT20 KNHC 250447 TWDAT   Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Sun Feb 25 2024  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.  Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through  0444 UTC.  ...SPECIAL FEATURES...  East Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force northerly winds have been occurring off the coast of Morocco tonight in the marine  zone Agadir and in the northeast portion of the marine zone  Tarfaya, mainly from 29N to 31N, between the coast of Africa and  11.5W. Seas in this area are currently 16 to 18 ft. Meteo-France  is forecasting winds to diminish to below gale force after  25/0300 UTC tonight. Seas will then gradually subside to below  12 ft by early Mon morning. Please read the latest High Seas  Forecast issued by Meteo-France at website  https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...  The Monsoon Trough extends from near 05N10W to 00N20W to 02N33W.  The ITCZ extends from 02N33W to 01N46W. Isolated showers and  thunderstorms are depicted along both the Monsoon Trough and the  ITCZ.   ...GULF OF MEXICO...  A cold front extends from the Yucatan Peninsula to the Bay of  Campeche. A 1021 mb high pressure is centered over the NW Gulf  of Mexico, in the wake of the front. Moderate to fresh W winds  are present in the NE Gulf, N of 29N and E of 87.5W. In the SE  Gulf and Straits of Florida, moderate to locally fresh NW to N  winds and seas 4 to 5 ft are present. Elsewhere, winds are  moderate or weaker, with seas 2 to 5 ft.  For the forecast, a cold front has moved SE of the basin this  evening. A 1021 mb high pressure now resides across the NW Gulf,  and will produce moderate NW to N winds to the E of 88W tonight  before winds diminish. The high will slide E across the northern  Gulf through Sun night and then into the Atlc Mon. Fresh  southerly return flow will develop over the western Gulf Sun  night through Mon night, then expand into eastern portions Tue  through Wed, ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the  NW Gulf Wed evening, then reach from the Florida Big Bend region  to near Tampico, Mexico by Thu morning.  ...CARIBBEAN SEA...  A cold front extends from west-central Cuba near 22N81W to  Cozumel, Mexico. Cloudiness and isolated showers are possible  along the front from the Isle of Youth eastward. Moderate N  winds are occurring across the Yucatan Channel. Mostly gentle  northerly winds are occurring south of 20N and west of 77W. A  trade wind regime is found east of 77W. Trades are gentle to  moderate in the SW and central Caribbean, increasing to moderate  to locally fresh closer to the coast of South America. The  highest seas in the basin are 6 ft off the coast of Colombia,  with generally 4 to 5 ft seas elsewhere south of 17N and east of  79W. South of 16N and west of 78W, seas are 2-4 ft. Seas are 1-3  ft elsewhere. Cloudiness with possible isolated showers are  found extending from near the Windward Passage to eastern  Jamaica to near 14N78W. Another smaller patch of cloudiness with  possible embedded isolated showers is located to the south of  the Mona Passage.  For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trade winds will  continue across the Caribbean waters within 90 nm of Colombia  through early next week, strongest at nights. A cold front has  entered the far NW Caribbean this evening, and will reach from  the Windward Passage to E of the Gulf of Honduras Sun morning,  then sink SE and extend from the N coast of Hispaniola to  Jamaica by Mon. High pressure will strengthen across the western  Atlantic Mon through Wed night and produce fresh to strong trade  winds across central portions of the basin and through the  Atlantic Passages. By Wed night, gales could develop offshore  Colombia.  ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...  See the Special Features section above for details on the east  Atlantic Gale Warning offshore Morocco.  A cold front extends from 31N65W to the N coast of Cuba near 23N78W. Scattered moderate showers are within 100 nm of the  front N of 28N and east of 63W, with isolated/lighter showers  farther SW along the front. Strong SW winds and 10 to 14 ft seas  are occurring along and within 180 nm E of the front, mainly N  of 26.5N. Fresh SW winds and 6 to 9 ft seas are E of the front  from 25N to 26.5N. To the west of the front, an area of strong  to near-gale force WNW winds and 8 to 12 ft seas exists north of  28N and east of 72W. Elsewhere west of the front, fresh WNW to  NW winds prevail. Seas are exceeding 8 ft north of 25.5N between  65W and 79W, with peak seas of 14 ft near 31N66W.  The remainder of the basin is dominated by a 1032 mb high  pressure centered S of the Azores near 33N28W. A surface ridge  extends SW from the high pressure to 25N59W. Winds are moderate  or weaker with seas 6 to 7 ft within several hundred miles of  the surface ridge. Fresh NE to ENE trades are generally to the  east and inside a partial contour extending from 31N15W to  24N36W to 13.5N46W to the west Coast of Africa. However, NNE to  NE winds are strong N of 18N and east of 23W. West of 40W across  this fresh wind area, seas are 7 to 9 ft. Seas are generally 9  to 13 ft between 36W and the Canary Islands. Between the Canary  Islands and the coast of Morocco, strong to gale force N to NNE  winds and 12-18 ft seas prevail.  For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from just E  of Bermuda, southwestward through the central Bahamas, and  through W central Cuba. Strong SW winds will prevail within 210  E of the cold front N of 26N tonight. Behind the front and N of  27N, strong NW winds to near gale-force will prevail. Rough to  very rough seas in westerly swell will follow the front, with  seas to 8 ft reaching as far S as 24N Sun. The front will reach  from 31N60W to NE Cuba Sun afternoon then gradually stall and  weaken from 27N55W to the NE coast of Dominican Republic Tue.  Farther E, a trough extends from 24N55W to the Leeward Islands,  and will drift westward across the northern Leeward Islands  through Sun night.  $$ KRV