Another Wet Weekend for NYC, Forecasts Show a Much Different Winter Ahead

In what's become a broken record for New Yorkers—the city is in for yet another rainy weekend.

Call it bad luck or coincidence, but the weekend of Friday, October 13, will mark the 13th weekend since June 1 with measurable rain in the New York City area. In Central Park, it rained the last four weekends in September, according to Fox Weather meteorologists. This is set to be the fifth in a row.

A cold front across the East and the remnants of Tropical Storm Philippe are to blame for this weekend's weather. Rain will likely start on Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Most of the tri-state area is expecting an inch or less of rainfall. Some areas, like eastern Long Island and parts of the Jersey Shore, may see up to two inches, according to NBC New York. However, flooding concerns have eased.

Philippe Storm Path Raises Concern For Flooding
Cars in floodwater on the FDR highway in Manhattan, New York on September 29, 2023. More rain is forecast for this weekend as storm Philippe approaches the Northeast. Getty

The good news is it won't be a total washout and nothing like what the area saw two weekends ago. September 29 marked one of New York City's wettest days in decades—as torrential rain battered the area, especially Brooklyn. Streets were flooded, many subway and commuter rail lines were shut down and drivers were stranded.

By nightfall, John F. Kennedy Airport recorded a staggering 8.65 inches of rain, breaking the previous September record set during Hurricane Donna in 1960, according to the National Weather Service. Parts of Brooklyn were drenched with over 7.25 inches of rain, with some areas recording 2.5 inches in just one hour.

2023 Winter New England Forecast

A strengthening El Niño is expected to make this winter different from last year across most of New England and the mid-Atlantic.

The window for snow-producing nor'easters will open in late January through February, which could result in substantial snowfall amounts for cities like Boston, New York City and Philadelphia, according to AccuWeather. Last winter, New York City recorded only 2.3 inches of snow. This winter, AccuWeather long-range meteorologists are forecasting between 18-26 inches for New York City, which is around the historical average.

What is El Niño?

El Niño is a regular, large-scale climate phenomenon that occurs when the water temperatures near the equator of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean are above the historical average for an extended period.

This change in water temperatures reshapes the jet stream and, consequently, weather patterns in various parts of the world, including North America. The influence of El Niño is amplified during the winter months, especially when it's strong, as anticipated for this winter.

As far as next weekend in the city, extended forecasts hint at another potential rainy weekend on the horizon.

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