Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 19, 2023): With 239 submitted names, we were one name short of securing eight nominees instead of the now-established seven. This leaves an opening for a shocking miss, but who will it be?
Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) seems destined to land his first Emmy nom, which, at 80, will make him the second-oldest nominee ever behind Alan Arkin (“The Kominsky Method”), who was 86 when he was recognized in 2019. Emmy winner Henry Winkler will likely become the third oldest in history for his work in “Barry.”
Will Winkler’s co-star Anthony Carrigan, who’s received Emmy love before, be invited back to the party? As the emotional center of this final season, he could even be a dark horse for the trophy. Unsure what that will mean for Stephen Root, who also was a breakout this year.
The “Ted Lasso” boys are back in the race again, but the only lock is two-time winner Brett Goldstein. While Nick Mohammad has been recognized before, this season had even more fans join the “House of Worship” for the still-yet-to-be-recognized Phil Dunster. He could be the second checkbox.
With a Golden Globe win under his belt, eyes are on Tyler James Williams to spoil the party for “Abbott Elementary.” His surprise nom last year showed he’s well-liked by his peers.
The other spots could be a variety of veterans such as Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”), former nominated standouts like Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”) and breakout stars such as Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”).
My pleas surround Chris Perfetti (“Abbott Elementary”), James Austin Johnson (“Saturday Night Live”), Luke Tennie (“Shrinking”) and James Marsden (“Jury Duty”). All are worthy of a slot.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Harrison Ford — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Tyler James Williams — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Brett Goldstein — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Henry Winkler — “Barry” (HBO)
- Anthony Carrigan — “Barry” (HBO)
- Tony Shalhoub — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Phil Dunster — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Next in Line
- Stephen Root — “Barry” (HBO)
- Ebon Moss-Bachrach — “The Bear” (FX)
- Bowen Yang — “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Chris Perfetti — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Kenan Thompson — “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Toheeb Jimoh — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Nick Mohammed — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Brian Tyree Henry — “Atlanta” (FX)
- Mel Brooks — “History of the World Part II” (Hulu)
- James Marsden — “Jury Duty” (Freevee)
- James Lance — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Luke Tennie — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Harvey Guillén — “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- William Stanford Davis — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Chris Perfetti — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Tyler James Williams — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Troy Gentile — “The Goldbergs” (ABC)
- Sean Giambrone — “The Goldbergs” (ABC)
- Jimmy Tatro — “Home Economics” (ABC)
- Dulé Hill — “The Wonder Years” (ABC)
- Diedrich Bader — “Lucky Hank” (AMC)
- Cedric Yarbrough — “Lucky Hank” (AMC)
- Damon Gupton — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- Joel Kim Booster — “Loot” (Apple TV+)
- David Hornsby — “Mythic Quest” (Apple TV+)
- Rory Scovel — “Physical” (Apple TV+)
- Paul Sparks — “Physical” (Apple TV+)
- Fred Armisen — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Tituss Burgess — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Jaime Camil — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Martin Short — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Aaron Tveit — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Harrison Ford — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Luke Tennie — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Michael Urie — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Kola Bokinni — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Phil Dunster — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Cristo Fernández — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Brett Goldstein — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Anthony Head — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Brendan Hunt — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Toheeb Jimoh — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- James Lance — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Nick Mohammed — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Jeremy Swift — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)