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Status quo on rate, but will the stance change?

We have come to the end of the rate-hike cycle. The speculation is on the timing of the first rate cut. It won't happen anytime soon

Tamal Bandyopadhyay
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
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RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das

In May 2022, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said in an interview that expectations of a rate hike in the next policy meeting were a no-brainer since inflation was a major area of concern even as economic recovery was steady and gaining traction.
This was weeks after the first rate hike in the current round, from 4 per cent to 4.40 per cent, in an off-cycle meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). It happened barely 12 hours before the US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 50 basis points (bps), the highest in 22 years, to tackle the worst inflation in four decades. In the US, the decision to raise the rate followed a 25 bps hike in March 2022, a first since late 2019. One bps is a hundredth of a percentage point.
Last month, the Federal Reserve announced its 10th interest rate hike in just little over a year, taking the Fed funds rate to a target range of 5 per cent-5.25 per cent. Even though the minutes of t
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First Published: Jun 04 2023 | 2:30 PM IST

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