Pollution Reveals What Russian Statistics Obscure: Industrial Decline

Satellite detection of atmospheric pollutants offers an independent look at what is going on with Russia’s economy

A satellite monitoring pollution released by Russian factories can detect gases including nitrogen dioxide, ozone, formaldehyde and methane. Photo: European Space Agency

Ever since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, questions have multiplied about the reliability of Russia’s economic data. Official Russian government reports have often suggested the economy is surviving Western sanctions better than Western governments had hoped. Yet with Moscow’s penchant for wartime propaganda, to what extent should anyone trust Russia’s economic information? 

So here is a data point that is hard for Russia to fake: pollution emitted by its factories and detectable by satellites in outer space.

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