U.S. markets open in 7 hours 17 minutes
  • S&P Futures

    4,184.50
    -1.25 (-0.03%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    34,136.00
    -16.00 (-0.05%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    13,304.00
    -2.75 (-0.02%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    1,773.20
    -3.20 (-0.18%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    75.46
    -0.20 (-0.26%)
     
  • Gold

    1,991.10
    -1.10 (-0.06%)
     
  • Silver

    25.09
    -0.14 (-0.55%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.0991
    +0.0013 (+0.12%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    3.5740
    0.0000 (0.00%)
     
  • Vix

    16.08
    +0.30 (+1.90%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2498
    +0.0003 (+0.03%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    137.5970
    +0.1290 (+0.09%)
     
  • Bitcoin USD

    28,024.28
    -489.16 (-1.72%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    614.39
    -9.61 (-1.54%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,870.57
    +38.99 (+0.50%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    29,160.35
    +37.17 (+0.13%)
     

The past five years for COLTENE Holding (VTX:CLTN) investors has not been profitable

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term COLTENE Holding AG (VTX:CLTN) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 23% over a half decade.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

View our latest analysis for COLTENE Holding

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the five years over which the share price declined, COLTENE Holding's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.8% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 5% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for COLTENE Holding the TSR over the last 5 years was -9.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that COLTENE Holding shareholders are down 16% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 2.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with COLTENE Holding .

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swiss exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Join A Paid User Research Session
You’ll receive a US$30 Amazon Gift card for 1 hour of your time while helping us build better investing tools for the individual investors like yourself. Sign up here