At Ramstein Air Base last week, the U.S. and its allies met and pledged more equipment and training for Ukraine. With the 2023 counteroffensive months off, analysts are discussing tactics, logistics, troop numbers and the effect of the “Teixeira leak” on the critical element of surprise. They talked about timing of tank deployments and possible kickoff dates but not the most important question: What would a successful counteroffensive achieve?
President Volodymyr Zelensky’s ultimate goals—removing Russian forces from Ukraine and restoring sovereignty over the whole of Ukraine, including Crimea—are unlikely to be achieved in 2023. Instead, military operations in coming months should be seen as the first in a series of campaigns to reach Mr. Zelensky’s objectives.
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