Itafos Inc. (CVE:IFOS) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 42%
The Itafos Inc. (CVE:IFOS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 42%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Itafos' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 11x and even P/E's above 25x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Itafos certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Keen to find out how analysts think Itafos' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Itafos' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Itafos would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 123% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 45% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 6.0%.
In light of this, it's understandable that Itafos' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Bottom Line On Itafos' P/E
Even after such a strong price move, Itafos' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Itafos maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Itafos with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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