The Real Cost of the Inflation Reduction Act Subsidies: $1.2 Trillion

Goldman Sachs says the uncapped tax credits will cost three times what Democrats claimed.

Nearly half the U.S. population uses TikTok, and CEO Shou Zi Chew's testimony before Congress on Mar. 23, 2023, did little to ease concerns over data security, privacy and ties to the Chinese Communist Party. Images: AFP/Getty Images/Reuters Composite: Mark Kelly

The Inflation Reduction Act may go down as one of the greatest confidence tricks on taxpayers in history. Democrats used accounting gimmicks to claim the partisan law would reduce the budget deficit. But now a Goldman Sachs report projects its myriad green subsidies will cost $1.2 trillion—more than three times what the law’s supporters claimed.

The Congressional Budget Office forecast that the IRA’s energy and climate provisions would cost $391 billion between 2022 and 2031, but this appears to be a huge under-estimate. One reason is companies are rushing to cash in on tax credits that aren’t capped. The Biden Administration is also loosely interpreting conditions for the credits.

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