Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: March. 23, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Comedy Series
Weekly Commentary: ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” would appear to be one of the leading front-runners heading into the early days of the Emmy season, if not the one to beat. Having an incredible sophomore season and coming off its history-making wins last year for outstanding writing and supporting actress comedy for Sheryl Lee Ralph, it might be theirs to lose.
“The Bear” is the new show on the block, winning key precursors and guilds, mostly for its lead actor Jeremy Allen White. Still, it poses a serious threat to bringing FX its first win in this category after seven former bids.
For two consecutive years, the TV Academy has rewarded the charms of Apple’s “Ted Lasso,” which may or may not be in its final season, depending on who you ask in the Hollywood biz. ABC’s “Modern Family” is the last series to win for its first three seasons, which eventually continued until the fifth season in 2014.
Other returning nominees from last year’s ceremony include HBO’s “Barry” and Amazon Prime Video’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” both of which are in their final seasons and could gather support for a farewell send-off.
The top freshman contenders are getting pushed by the streaming giants and could make a play for TV Academy love. Netflix has three possibilities with “Beef,” “Mo” and “Wednesday” while Apple will steer “The Big Door Prize” and “Shrinking.” Peacock has a popular hit with “Poker Face” while Amazon will try to stir up buzz for “A League of Their Own.”
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- “The Bear” (FX)
- “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- “Barry” (HBO)
- “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- “Beef” (Netflix)
Next in Line
- “Poker Face” (Peacock)
- “Wednesday” (Netflix)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
- “The Great” (Hulu)
- “Atlanta” (FX)
- “Mo” (Netflix)
- “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
- “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
- “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
- “Ghosts” (CBS)
- “The Other Two” (HBO)
- “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- “The Conners” (ABC)
- “Home Economics” (ABC)
- “The Wonder Years” (ABC)
- “A League of Their Own” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “The Consultant” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “Harlem” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “Mammals” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “The Outlaws” (Amazon Prime Video)
- “Lucky Hank” (AMC)
- “The Afterparty” (Apple TV+)
- “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- “Loot” (Apple TV+)
- “Mythic Quest” (Apple TV+)
- “Physical” (Apple TV+)
- “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- “Bob Hearts Abishola” (CBS)
- “Ghosts” (CBS)
- “American Born Chinese” (Disney+)
- “She-Hulk: Attorney at Law” (Disney+)
- “Call Me Kat” (Fox)
- “Grown-ish” (Freeform)
- “Jury Duty” (Freevee)
- “Sprung” (Freevee)
- “Atlanta” (FX)
- “The Bear” (FX)
- “Dave” (FX)
- “Reboot” (FX)
- “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
- “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
- “And Just Like That…” (HBO)
- “Barry” (HBO)
- “Julia” (HBO)
- “The Other Two” (HBO)
- “Our Flag Means Death” (HBO)
- “Peacemaker” (HBO)
- “The Righteous Gemstones” (HBO)
- “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
- “The Great” (Hulu)
- “How I Met Your Father” (Hulu)
- “Love, Victor” (Hulu)
- “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- “Ramy” (Hulu)
- “Unprisoned” (Hulu)
- “Up Here” (Hulu)
- “Beef” (Netflix)
- “Blockbuster” (Netflix)
- “Cobra Kai” (Netflix)
- “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
- “Emily in Paris” (Netflix)
- “Mo” (Netflix)
- “Uncoupled” (Netflix)
- “Unstable” (Netflix)
- “Wednesday” (Netflix)
- “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+)
- “Tulsa King” (Paramount+)
- “American Auto” (Peacock)
- “Bupkis” (Peacock)
- “Night Court” (Peacock)
- “Poker Face” (Peacock)
- “The Resort” (Peacock)
- “Party Down” (Starz)
- “Shining Vale” (Starz)
- “Resident Alien” (Syfy)
**This list is not yet complete and is subject to change.
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | VARIETY SKETCH, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.