Home Food Delivery’s Questionable Value, for Consumers and Investors

Shares of meal-kit company HelloFresh fell after it signaled a year of slow growth. It isn’t the only food-delivery company facing an uncertain future.

HelloFresh dominates the market for cook-at-home ingredient packages. Photo: Klaus-Dietmar Gabbert/dpa/Zuma Press

Serving food with a side of technology was the perfect pandemic business model. Now old doubts are back with a vengeance: Just how many people will pay what it costs to have grub delivered to their door?

HelloFresh shares fell 9% Tuesday after the meal-kit company said it was targeting revenue growth of anywhere between 2% and 10% this year, stripping out currency movements—a wide bracket but below most analysts’ forecasts at the midpoint. Its profit guidance also came in below expectations.

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