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Shares of Federal Bank surged more than 2% to 132 apiece on the BSE in Wednesday's trading session, hovering near its record high level of 143 per share that it had hit in January this year. Brokerages are further bullish on the banking stock post the analyst day.

“We reiterate ‘BUY’ with a target price of 180 as we believe the bank is set to deliver higher RoA of 1.4% through FY25E versus an average RoA of 0.9% over the last five years. With a derisked book, fintech partnerships gaining traction and market share acquisition in loans, we expect Federal Bank to deliver a strong EPS CAGR of 28% over FY22–25E," said Nuvama Research.

Given a strong outlook for loan growth and sustained improvement in RoA, analysts at Nuvama expect the stock to outperform the mid-cap BFSI space. Federal’s early-mover advantage in growing with the help of fintechs has led to material gains in liabilities and fee income. The bank has a surplus on priority loans, which is a positive.

"We remain positive on the stock, as FB demonstrates strong asset quality through the cycle and has created a pan-India franchise that would enable it to build a sustainable business model with healthy earnings profile. Our current estimates build in 1.2% RoA and +15% RoE over FY23-25E and we maintain our earnings estimate and TP of 170. Maintain BUY," said analysts at Antique Stock Broking.

At the analyst day, Federal Bank reiterated focus on branch light, distribution heavy model in partnerships with Fintechs/BCs, increasing share of retail loans, strengthening liability side with increasing share in its core NRI deposits and and maintaining asset quality while improving NIM/fee income. 

“These efforts are visible in superior asset quality performance over the last 3 years, increasing market share in CASA/NRI deposits and NEFT/RTGS/debit card transactions. We expect improving income profile – NIM expansion, improving fee income streams – and moderate credit cost to result in sustainable RoA of 1.2-1.3% and sustainable RoE of 15% from FY24. Maintain Buy with TP of 180," said brokerage Ambit.

As per the BSE shareholding pattern, late investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala holds 1.17% stake in the bank whereas his wife Rekha Jhunjhunwala holds 2.31% stake as of December 2022 quarter.

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The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint.

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