Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Nov. 3, 2022

“Bassett’s sole previous Oscar nod was for her turn as Tina Turner in 1993’s “What’s Love Got to Do With It.” Her pathway to a nom this time around will be contingent on how strongly “Wakanda Forever” resonates with Academy members. With a multitude of populist flicks and hit sequels — “Everything Everywhere All at Once” and “Top Gun: Maverick” among them — angling for contention, it’s unclear how many consumer-friendly titles the Oscars will embrace. Noteworthy, no actor from the MCU has been nominated for acting despite the DCEU landing noms and wins with the likes of Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”) and Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker”). There have been a few seeming “close calls” like Michael B. Jordan’s Killmonger from “Black Panther” (2018).”
From Awards Circuit Column on Nov. 2 in Variety magazine.

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*** = PREDICTED WINNER

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

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See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective.