Industrial growth shrinks to 4-month low of 2.4%, fails to meet estimates

Industrial growth has been plummeting ever since a favourable base effect propelled it to a one-year high of 19.6 percent in May

Moneycontrol News
September 13, 2022 / 06:47 AM IST

Representational Image (Image: Shutterstock)

India's industrial growth, as per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), slowed further in July to 2.4 percent from 12.7 percent in June, data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on September 12 showed.

At 2.4 percent, the July industrial growth figure is the lowest in four months.

The July industrial growth figure was well below the consensus estimate. A Moneycontrol poll of 17 economists had predicted IIP growth would slow to 4.1 percent.

IIP growth has been slowing ever since it hit a one-year high of 19.6 percent in May on the back of a favourable base effect.

The base effect turned sharply favourable in May due to the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic engulfing the country in the year-ago period, which saw the reimposition of restrictions on movement and activity in several parts of the country. This hit industrial activity and created a low base for this year's IIP growth figures.

But with activity levels improving rapidly last year, the favourable base has waned.
JULY 2022JUNE 2022JULY 2021
IIP growth2.4%12.7%11.5%
    Mining-3.3%7.8%19.5%
    Manufacturing3.2%13.0%10.5%
    Electricity2.3%16.4%11.1%
USE-BASED CLASSIFICATION
Primary goods2.5%13.8%12.4%
Capital goods5.8%29.1%30.3%
Intermediate goods3.6%10.5%14.6%
Infrastructure goods3.9%9.3%12.3%
Consumer durables2.4%25.1%19.4%
Consumer non-durables-2.0%3%-2.3%

In July, the manufacturing and electricity sectors posted significant drops in their growth rates, with the mining sector posting a 3.3 percent drop in its output.

The story was near-identical when looking at use-based classification, with five of the six types of goods witnessing a sharp drop in output growth, The sixth, consumer non-durable goods, saw its production fall by 2 percent in July when compared to the year-ago period.
Moneycontrol News
Tags: #Economy #IIP #IIP growth #industrial growth
first published: Sep 12, 2022 05:42 pm