The sharp decline in daily Covid cases in Mumbai for four consecutive days reversed on Wednesday with new daily cases jumping to 16,420. The test positivity ratio (TPR) was 24.38%, compared to 18.7% on January 11.
Mumbai's third wave began on December 21. On January 7 the city's daily new cases and test positivity rate (TPR) hit 20,971 and 29%, but from then onwards both the daily new cases and TPR, as recorded on Tuesday, started falling to 11,647 and 18.7%, respectively, giving an impression that the city may have passed its peak.
While the slowdown in cases and the test positivity rate in Mumbai for four consecutive days may have brought some cheer to residents, some experts say these numbers could be due to testing or reporting anomalies, and at least a week was needed to determine whether the city has passed the peak.
A TPR of the levels being seen in Mumbai or Delhi may indicate that only the sickest are being tested and that the actual number of persons who are positive could be far higher. About 5% is supposed to be a normal TPR.
However, some officials and experts are optimistic that Mumbai may indeed have hit a peak.
Daksha Shah, the deputy executive health officer of BMC, told ET that the city could have hit the peak. "According to the number of tests to cases, the highest daily number we observed so far is 20,000, we will have to wait and see for at least week, whether there will be any breach of this," Shah said
"There is clear trend of cases dropping in the last four days, though a spike is expected on Wednesday, as traditionally higher numbers are reported on Wednesday," said Shashank Joshi, member, Maharashtra Covid Task Force.
Mumbai's third wave began on December 21. On January 7 the city's daily new cases and test positivity rate (TPR) hit 20,971 and 29%, but from then onwards both the daily new cases and TPR, as recorded on Tuesday, started falling to 11,647 and 18.7%, respectively, giving an impression that the city may have passed its peak.
While the slowdown in cases and the test positivity rate in Mumbai for four consecutive days may have brought some cheer to residents, some experts say these numbers could be due to testing or reporting anomalies, and at least a week was needed to determine whether the city has passed the peak.
A TPR of the levels being seen in Mumbai or Delhi may indicate that only the sickest are being tested and that the actual number of persons who are positive could be far higher. About 5% is supposed to be a normal TPR.
However, some officials and experts are optimistic that Mumbai may indeed have hit a peak.
Daksha Shah, the deputy executive health officer of BMC, told ET that the city could have hit the peak. "According to the number of tests to cases, the highest daily number we observed so far is 20,000, we will have to wait and see for at least week, whether there will be any breach of this," Shah said
"There is clear trend of cases dropping in the last four days, though a spike is expected on Wednesday, as traditionally higher numbers are reported on Wednesday," said Shashank Joshi, member, Maharashtra Covid Task Force.
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