Sugar stocks rally on strong outlook; Triveni, Balrampur hit new highs

According to CRISIL, sugar mills are expected to see both revenue and profitability improve in the 2022 season (SS 2022; October 2021 to September 2022).

Topics
Buzzing stocks | Sugar Stocks | Crisil report

SI Reporter  |  Mumbai 

Sugar, Ethanol, Sugarcane
Workers load a bundle of sugarcane onto a truck while harvesting the crop in the Jalana district of Maharashtra, India | Bloomberg

Shares of sugar companies were in demand in Tuesday’s intra-day trade and had rallied up to 10 per cent amid heavy volumes on strong outlook. Triveni Engineering & Industries, soared 9 per cent to Rs 244, and crossed its earlier high of Rs 235 hit on December 28, 2021 on the BSE. Similarly, surged 7 per cent to Rs 399, and surpassed its previous high of Rs 398.25 touched on October 18, 2021.

Dhampur Sugar Mills, Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries, Avadh Sugar, Dwarikesh Sugar, EID Parry (India), Mawana Sugars and Uttam Sugar Mills were up in the range of 5 per cent to 10 per cent on the BSE. In comparison, the S&P BSE Sensex was up 0.53 per cent at 59,498 at 10:42 am.

According to a CRISIL report, sugar mills are expected to see both revenue and profitability improve in the 2022 season (SS 2022; October 2021 to September 2022).

Sugar prices are expected to rise 16-17 per cent this season, compared to a marginal fall in the last year, led by a pickup in industrial demand and increased exports. An increase in consumption amid stable production is expected to deplete inventories, leading to the sharp rise.

Higher sales volumes and higher realisations will aid revenue growth of 18-19 per cent. Cane costs, meanwhile, are expected to rise at a slower pace of 8 per cent in north India and 3 per cent in south India. This would provide ample room for improvement in operating profitability, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin, which is expected to increase by 300-400 basis points, CRISIL said. CLICK HERE FOR FULL REPORT

In November, CRISIL Ratings had upgraded its rating on the long-term bank facilities of Ltd (BCML) to ‘CRISIL AA+/Stable’ from 'CRISIL AA/Positive’. The rating action factors in the enhanced business risk profile, driven by growing diversity and better profitability from the distillery division, with ethanol produced being supplied at remunerative prices for blending with gasoline. Lower fluctuations in ethanol pricing, which is linked to price of sugarcane, has helped mitigate the volatility in business performance associated with sugar business, rating agency said in rationale.

Meanwhile, ICRA expects Triveni Engineering’s (TEIL) revenues in FY2022 to remain stagnant, notwithstanding higher revenues from the distillery division, offset by lower sugar volumes (both domestic and exports). Further, higher sucrose diversion towards B-heavy molasses/juice-based ethanol would moderate the inventory levels and hence lower its working capital borrowing levels especially in FY2024.

Additionally, TEIL has forayed into production of country liquor in FY2021, thus, further facilitating forward integration. Moreover, TEIL’s grain-based distillery of 60 kilo litres per day (KLPD) is expected to commence its operations in Q4 FY2022, which is likely to strengthen its operational profile and improve revenue diversification, ICRA had said in November rating action.

COMPANY LATEST PREV CLOSE GAIN(%)
Kesar Enterprise 92.60 84.20 9.98
Magadh Sugar 274.00 250.20 9.51
Dharani Sugars 19.85 18.15 9.37
Triven.Engg.Ind. 239.70 224.50 6.77
KM Sugar Mills 29.20 27.35 6.76
Dhampur Sugar 328.00 307.25 6.75
Balrampur Chini 398.55 374.15 6.52
Dalmia Bharat 410.50 387.05 6.06
Avadh Sugar 501.00 472.90 5.94
Uttam Sug.Mills 193.00 182.40 5.81
Rana Sugars 26.70 25.30 5.53
Sakthi Sugars 16.35 15.50 5.48
Dwarikesh Sugar 76.60 72.90 5.08
Dhampur.Spl.Sug. 39.90 38.00 5.00
Parvati Sweetner 21.10 20.10 4.98
Bajaj Hindusthan 15.85 15.10 4.97
EID Parry 477.40 455.35 4.84
Mawana Sugars 83.50 79.95 4.44
Sh.Renuka Sugar 31.75 30.40 4.44
Ugar Sugar Works 31.45 30.25 3.97

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First Published: Tue, January 04 2022. 11:06 IST
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