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  2. Microchips
December 06, 2021 12:00 AM

The latest numbers on the microchip shortage: Getting a little better

Automakers are still shaving back production plans due to semiconductor shortages, but the worst-case scenario for North America just got a tiny bit better.

Lindsay Chappell
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    In a rare spot of encouraging news on the global microchip shortage, AutoForecast Solutions has trimmed back its worst-case estimate for lost North American vehicle production.

    AFS now projects that North American factories will ultimately cut 3,414,372 cars and trucks from their production plans before the chip crisis is resolved. That is an 897-vehicle improvement.

    The revision may be negligible in the big picture: AFS still anticipates that missing chips will cost the global auto industry more than 11.3 million vehicles before all is said and done. But the tiny improvement may be a harbinger that automaker efforts to navigate the supply chain crisis are having some results. 

    Automakers in Europe, Asia and, to a lesser degree, South America and the Middle East/Africa region have made additional cuts.

    European plants knocked more than 56,000 more vehicles off of their production plans, while those in Asia, including Japan and South Korea, have deleted another 30,000.

    Automakers have taken steps to steer around bottlenecks by dropping some chip-based features from their build orders, such as General Motors’ move to produce vehicles without heated steering wheels.

    But even as manufacturers look for new workarounds, most are reconciled to the likelihood that chip shortages will continue into 2022.

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    The breakdown
     AnnouncedProjected
    North America3,170,0283,414,372
    Europe2,918,1253,335,611
    China1,982,3432,147,737
    Rest of Asia1,726,3271,979,397
    South America353,502374,156
    Middle East/Africa61,87672,708
    Total10,212,20111,323,980

    Source: AutoForecast Solutions Inc. autoforecastsolutions.com

    AutoForecast Solutions Inc.

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