India is at present a member of three of the four global non-proliferation regimes — Wassenaar Arrangement, Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) and Australia Group. The fourth one, the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), however, continues to elude India, largely because of one country, China, whose opposition is couched in non-proliferation language.
China has also asked for Pakistan to be granted membership along with India, to rob India of the “special” tag that came with the NSG waiver to the India-US nuclear deal back in 2008. China acceded to that waiver, kicking and screaming, and has since nursed that diplomatic humiliation — Chinese diplomats walked out of that last meeting of the NSG in Vienna in September 2008, and were sent back after a midnight phone call from Washington.
Beijing was determined that India would not get another free pass into the nuclear world. The Obama administration wasn’t going to do any more nuclear heavy-lifting for India, most definitely not by taking on China (Obama himself was the author of one of the infamous “killer” amendments to the Hyde Act). Trump didn’t care and Biden has too many China challenges on his hands to pick up another one.
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