Oil Rally Cools on Unexpected Supply Rise at U.S. Storage Hub

Julia Fanzeres
·2 min read

(Bloomberg) -- Oil pared gains amid rising stockpiles at the biggest U.S. storage hub, signaling a crude supply drain may be slowing.

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Futures in New York rose as much as 1.6% on Monday before easing off session highs. Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for benchmark U.S. crude futures, rose by about 852,000 barrels in the period Oct. 26-Oct. 29, according to traders citing data from Wood Mackenzie.

Any reversal in the trend of supply declines at Cushing, “should at least quell the panic on inventories,” said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management.

Crude has soared this year as economies recover from the pandemic and amid an energy squeeze marked by shortages of gas and coal. Bank of America even said it expects Brent crude to hit to hit $120 a barrel by the end of June. Meanwhile, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will meet virtually on Thursday to discuss output policy. The group have loosened supply curbs only gradually, and top exporter Saudi Arabia has maintained a cautious stance.

U.S. President Joe Biden criticized Saudi Arabia and Russia for an inadequate response to the energy crunch while speaking after a Group of 20 summit on Sunday. However, OPEC+ has remained steadfast in resisting the pressure, with Kuwait becoming the latest country to say the group should stick with its plan to increase output only gradually.

The cooling of prices in the past week gives OPEC+ even more reason to not increase its supply, according to John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC. The pressures from other countries to increase output won’t move the needle for the cartel, he said.

Meanwhile, a surge in oil cargoes from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, coupled with sharp increases from parts of Russia, has put observed October crude shipments on course for a big month-on-month hike. Data on output and shipments will be pored over this week ahead of OPEC’s upcoming meeting.

Over the weekend, China said it would release state reserves of diesel and gasoline to ease shortages. The move is a part of an annual rotation of holdings, but the government has given neither volumes nor a schedule.

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