Airbnb earnings outperform pre-pandemic results, but forecast suggests it may not last

Gross booking value climbed to $13.4 billion, blowing past analysts’ expectation of $11.56 billion. That’s a 320% increase year over year, and a 37% improvement over the second quarter of 2019. Nights and experiences booked rose 197% year over year to 83.1 million, though they were down 1% from the same period in 2019.

Airbnb also narrowed its loss to $68 million, or 11 cents a share, from a loss of $576 million, or $2.18 a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted EBITDA was $217 million, which includes stock-based compensation and other costs. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast a loss of $264 million, or 36 cents a share.

The lodging-booking company’s shares initially gained about 3% after hours Thursday, then dropped into negative territory. The stock rose 2% in the regular session to close at $151.15. 

Airbnb outperformed its biggest competitors in online travel booking, Expedia Group Inc. EXPE, +0.17% and Booking Holdings Inc. BKNG, -0.32%, whose recently reported second-quarter revenue and gross bookings remained lower than 2019 levels. But, like Expedia and Booking, Airbnb cited continued uncertainty over the pandemic and the delta variant in not providing specific third-quarter guidance, though it expects some significant year-over-year improvements.

“Airbnb is leading the travel rebound,” said Brian Chesky, chief executive of Airbnb.

“We expect Q3 2021 revenue to be our strongest quarterly revenue on record and to deliver the highest Adjusted EBITDA dollars and margin ever,” Airbnb said in a letter to shareholders. Though the company expects bookings to grow year over year, it also expects them to decline from this year’s second quarter and the same period in 2019.

Shares of Airbnb are up 2% year to date, while the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.30% has risen nearly 19% so far this year.