PUNE: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Sunday forecast moderate rainfall in the city and across the district till July 16. The IMD also predicted heavy to very heavy rainfall in the ghat areas for next few days. Monsoon became active in the state on July 9. The state’s weather condition is mostly governed by the presence of a trough line from South Punjab to the Bay of Bengal and upper air cyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal. “Besides, the westerly winds coming from the Arabian Sea are strong and there is the chance of an off-shore trough formation from north Maharashtra coastal areas to Kerala. Because of these weather conditions, all four meteorological subdivisions of the state are expected to get widespread rainfall till July 16,” said IMD head Anupam Kashyapi. Rainfall activity over the state and Pune district had remained subdued for two days due to the absence of a weather system over the state, said met officials. “From July 12 onwards, all areas of the district are expected to get moderate rainfall. This would activate kharif sowing activity in rural areas,” said a met official. For ghat areas, the IMD officials have advised commuters to maintain vehicle speed, especially on the Pune-Mumbai expressway and the old highway in the ghat areas of the district. “There is a possibility of pothole formation and accumulation of rain water in low lying areas too. Commuters need to be extra careful during their commute,” added the met official. On Sunday, the Shivajinagar observatory recorded 2 mm rainfall while the Lohegaon observatory recorded nil rainfall, as per the IMD report.