‘Careful unlock, fast vax drive can prevent third wave in Vidarbha’

NAGPUR: More than two weeks post unlock in most parts of Vidarbha, Covid-19 cases and deaths are going down daily. There have been many positives for Vidarbha in last two weeks.
The test positivity rate has gone down significantly despite testing remaining high. The number of hospitalized patients has dropped drastically. Vaccination for 30-44 age group has already started in the region. Now, vaccination is also in full swing. A little care for two more weeks and Vidarbha is all set to skip the third wave, even in rural areas, said experts.

“Epidemiologically, there are two reasons behind sudden drop in cases and deaths. First and foremost is virus has weakened. Secondly, our population is nearing herd immunity. We are not considering the second reason so far. But the virus has definitely weakened and it’s the best opportunity for us,” said epidemiologist Dr Anand Thatte.
According to him, the next three to four weeks are crucial and aggressive vaccination will ensure that a large population remains safe in future.
“Vaccination is now available for everyone above 30 years. In next two weeks, the government is planning vaccines for 18+ too. Initial response is enthusiastic. It should continue,” said professor Sanjay Khadse, resident deputy collector of Akola.
According to doctors, a careful unlock process is also must. “Public places like cinema halls, auditoriums and restaurants are now open with 50% capacity which is a good step. Open air events should be promoted. If cases stay under control for two more weeks, it will be win-win situation for Vidarbha,” said intensive care specialist Dr Sanjay Boraste.
Conditions in rural Vidarbha are also improving. A senior member of Covid task force, who was not willing to be named, accepted that a large chunk of rural cases remained unreported.
“The caseload in rural Vidarbha must be at least three times more than what it is officially. Villages are smaller clusters with low population density. Rural Vidarbha will be considerably safe if vaccination is ensured,” said the member.
Real ‘positives’
- After 2 weeks, all 11 districts are in Level 1 of unlock
- 50 lakh people already vaccinated, more to get jab from today
- Average 30k tests conducted daily, less than 400 testing positive
- Toll reduced to 7 on Saturday, 3 on Sunday
- 7 districts having less than 500 active cases, 2 less than 100
- Cases/deaths from rural areas reduced significantly