Lifevantage Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Possible Value Trap
- By GF Value
The stock of Lifevantage (NAS:LFVN, 30-year Financials) is believed to be possible value trap, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $8.32 per share and the market cap of $116.5 million, Lifevantage stock is believed to be possible value trap. GF Value for Lifevantage is shown in the chart below.
The reason we think that Lifevantage stock might be a value trap is because
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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Lifevantage has a cash-to-debt ratio of 1.06, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Consumer Packaged Goods. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Lifevantage's financial strength as 7 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Lifevantage over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Lifevantage has been profitable 9 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $224.8 million and earnings of $0.81 a share. Its operating margin of 7.67% in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Consumer Packaged Goods. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Lifevantage's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of Lifevantage over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Lifevantage is 4.1%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Consumer Packaged Goods. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 55.4%, which ranks better than 94% of the companies in the industry of Consumer Packaged Goods.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Lifevantage's return on invested capital is 42.80, and its cost of capital is 10.23. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Lifevantage is shown below:
In closing, the stock of Lifevantage (NAS:LFVN, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be possible value trap. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks better than 94% of the companies in the industry of Consumer Packaged Goods. To learn more about Lifevantage stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
