"Insatiable demand": Foreign investors snatch up U.S. investment grade bonds
Data: Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Index; Chart: Will Chase/Axios
Interest rates may be low in the U.S., but they're also low — and in some cases lower — around the world. As a result, foreign investors are continuing to snatch up U.S. investment grade (IG) bond funds in order to get paid more for their trouble.
Why it matters: Foreign investor demand has helped bring the key IG index's spread over Treasuries to a record-tight level. In turn, some IG fund managers are stretching into lower-rated assets to help boost returns.
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State of play: "We're seeing an insatiable demand for investment grade credit from Japan," Matt Brill, head of investment grade for North America at Invesco, tells Axios.
Demand is particularly strong from Japan because the country has adopted a negative short-term interest rate policy, with long-term rates targeted at around zero.
Net inflows to all IG U.S. bond funds this year total $236 billion, far outstripping the $25 billion into high-yield funds, according to financial data provider EPFR.
By the numbers: Since the start of the year, the IG spread over Treasuries has tightened by 13 basis points, to around 0.85%, as measured by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Index.
The impact: With spreads so tight, IG managers are dipping into the high-yield bond market more than usual, says Marc Kremer, fixed income portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton.
"People are looking for yield, especially to the degree they feel like we're in a good fundamental environment, and growth will support the credit metrics," Kremer says.
Of note: Distressed hedge funds, lacking opportunities, have also stretched into high yield. Amid the extra demand, the ICE BofA high yield index is at a near-record low of its own, at 4.2%.
What to watch: Whether the Fed's unwinding of its $13.7 billion emergency bond purchasing facility has any impact on spreads.
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