China lifts 2-child policy to 3, as demographic crisis looms

Falling birthrates are a global phenomenon, and China also faces a declining population of women of peak childbearing age

A couple carries their newborn baby as they walk at a local park on May 12, 2021 in Beijing, China.

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In the face of a looming demographic crisis from an aging population and falling birthrates, China announced on Monday that married couples may now have three children, up from two. The decision — made at the highest levels of Chinese politics — includes new supports for education and child-rearing.

The outlook: Can the Chinese government effectively encourage people to have more babies? Falling birthrates are a global phenomenon, and China also faces a declining population of women of peak childbearing age. It may take more than a green light and new supports from the government. Fewer babies and an aging population remain macro risks for sectors including Chinese pensions and healthcare.

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