Equity benchmarks were rising Friday morning, aiming to mark a second day of gains in a choppy week of trade that continues to be marked by concerns about Federal Reserve policy in the face of rising inflation in the economy’s Covid recovery.
How are stock benchmarks performing?
For the week, the S&P 500 was flat with Friday’s gains. The Dow was off 0.2% for the week, threatening to post a fourth weekly loss out of the past five. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.8%, set to snap a 4-week losing streak.
What’s driving the market?
U.S. markets were looking at a light day of data to end another tumultuous week for stocks, with economic reports coming in mixed but failing to derail the uptrend for equities.
IHS Market flash U.S. composite index rose to record 68.1 in May from 63.5 in prior month, with the flash services index up to record 70.1 in May from 64.7 and a reading of manufacturing rising to a record 61.5 from 60.5.
However, housing data was soft. Existing-home sales fall 2.7% in April to 5.85 million annual rate, Realtors say.
“Tight inventories and rising home prices, which set another record in April, continue to constrain sales, particularly to lower and middle-income households who are often competing with cash buyers for the few homes available,” wrote economists Nancy Vanden Houten and Gregory Daco at Oxford Economics, in a note.
The readings come after the eurozone purchasing managers composite output index for the region climbed to a 39-month high at 56.9, with the services index at a 35-month high; the manufacturing PMI slipped to a two-month low at 62.8.
The broader market was rattled on Wednesday as the nascent crypto market sold off and as investors digested a reading of minutes from the Fed that raised the specter of the central bank at some point ending its accommodative asset purchases.
Investors will look to hear more from Fed speakers, with Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly due to speak on Friday. Kaplan, in an interview with MarketWatch earlier this month, advocated for beginning a conversation about the central bank’s taking its foot off the gas in its support for the economy. Daly has said it is too soon to begin such discussions.
Some investors and strategists are warming to the idea of pricing pressures in the aftermath of the Covid pandemic being temporary, which has been attributed to some of the rebound in areas of the market that would be harmed by a rapid surge in inflation.
“The idea of temporary inflation seems to be creeping into the minds of the financial community, helping to calm interest in commodities,” wrote Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro.
“Furthermore, we see politicians in different parts of the world engaging in their ways to combat the inflation threat,” the analyst wrote, in a research note.
On the public health front, the number of global deaths caused by the coronavirus-borne illness COVID-19 is likely far higher than official numbers suggest, the World Health Organization said Friday.
“Based on the excess mortality estimates for 2020, the 3.4 million deaths currently reported to WHO are likely a significant undercount, with true figures at least 2-3 times higher,” said the report.