Gold prices headed for a second straight gain on Friday and are up for the week as well, with prices eyeing their highest finish in more than three months.
Earlier, hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data Wednesday contributed to a weekly rise in bond yields and some strength in the U.S. dollar, pushing prices for gold on Thursday to their lowest intraday price in a week.
However, data Friday showed U.S. retail sales growth for April was flat, compared to forecasts for a rise of 0.8% and following a gain of 10.7% in March, which had been triggered by $1,400 stimulus checks paid to Americans.
“This is one more report that throws cold water on notions of the Federal Reserve tightening U.S. monetary policy anytime soon,” said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco.com, in a daily note.
Gold has been torn between the prospect of higher inflation, with evidence of pricing pressures building in consumer and producer-price data, but the chance of the Fed being forced to lift interest rates to cool the economy has checked bullion’s moves somewhat, some analysts have said.
June gold
GCM21,
If prices top Monday’s settlement of $1,837.60, they would mark the highest settlement since Feb. 10, FactSet data show.
Meanwhile, July silver
SIN21,
“Higher interest rates tend to be bad for gold, but rising inflation is good, so the market is in a bit of a tussle to see where real rates are going,” wrote Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at Markets.com, in a daily note.
“With the Fed still seen keeping its thumb firmly pressed on shorter-dated yields, rising inflation expectations would tend to support the bull case for gold,” he wrote.
For the week, prices for gold, based on the most-active contract, have climbed by 0.4%, while silver has lost around 0.3%.
Gold prices “held up reasonably well this week” despite a firmer U.S. dollar and a slight increase in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, “buoyed instead by rising inflation fears,” said Edward Meir, analyst at ED&F Man Capital Markets, in a note Friday. “After all, gold is supposed to be the quintessential ‘inflation hedge’ and so if it were to do well, now is the time.”
Among other metals traded on Comex, July copper
HGN21,
July platinum
PLN21,