Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

GuruFocus.com
·4 min read

- By GF Value

The stock of Seanergy Maritime Holdings (NAS:SHIP, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $1.1 per share and the market cap of $171.8 million, Seanergy Maritime Holdings stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Seanergy Maritime Holdings is shown in the chart below.


Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

Because Seanergy Maritime Holdings is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.

Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.

Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Seanergy Maritime Holdings has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.12, which is worse than 77% of the companies in Transportation industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Seanergy Maritime Holdings at 3 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Seanergy Maritime Holdings is poor. This is the debt and cash of Seanergy Maritime Holdings over the past years:

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. Seanergy Maritime Holdings has been profitable 2 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $63.3 million and loss of $5.6 a share. Its operating margin is 3.24%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Transportation industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of Seanergy Maritime Holdings at 2 out of 10, which indicates poor profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Seanergy Maritime Holdings over the past years:

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Seanergy Maritime Holdings is -84.4%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Transportation industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -87.8%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Transportation industry.

One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Seanergy Maritime Holdings's ROIC is 0.66 while its WACC came in at 6.77. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Seanergy Maritime Holdings is shown below:

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

To conclude, the stock of Seanergy Maritime Holdings (NAS:SHIP, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Transportation industry. To learn more about Seanergy Maritime Holdings stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

To find out the high quality companies that may deliever above average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.