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Stock market news live updates: Stock futures drift lower ahead of packed earnings week

Emily McCormick
·Reporter
·3 min read
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Stock futures pointed to a slightly lower open Monday morning, with traders bracing for a busy week of corporate earnings results, a Federal Reserve monetary policy decision and deluge of economic data. 

Contracts on the S&P 500 ticked down, after the blue-chip index hit a record high late last week. Contracts on the Dow were little changed, while those on the Nasdaq fell about 0.3% ahead of a bevy of Big Tech earnings. 

Expectations are high heading into one of the busiest weeks of corporate earnings reports this earnings season. The vast majority of companies that have reported first-quarter results so far have handily exceeded estimates, with the vaccine-enabled recovery helping stoke demand across a wide variety of industries. Tesla (TSLA) is poised to post its quarterly earnings after market close on Monday. 

Eighty-four percent of the S&P 500 companies that have reported first-quarter results to date posted a positive earnings per share surprise, according to data from FactSet. This would mark the highest percentage of companies reporting upside surprises since FactSet began tracking this metric in 2008, assuming this beat rate holds through the end of earnings season. 

Investors are also continuing to digest reports last week that the Biden administration was eyeing an increase on the capital gains tax rate for individuals earning more than $1 million. The initial reports of this proposal sent stocks plunging on Thursday last week, with traders contemplating the possible net effects of such a move in light of a strengthening economic backdrop that has already helped boost corporate profits. 

"There is also a potential risk from higher capital gains tax if we get indication that it will materialize and go into effect starting next year (vs. retroactive to 2021) causing certain investors to take profits early. However, this proposal would be contentious and likely to face significant opposition," JPMorgan Chase equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas wrote in a note Friday. 

"With respect to corporate taxes, S&P 500 companies are now better positioned to absorb a potential tax increase given: (1) robust economic and earnings recovery; (2) elevated corporate cash balance of $2.1T ex-financials (up 28% vs. 4Q19); (3) partial offset from large NOL [net operating loss] balance of ~$290B; and (4) the spending component of the plan should boost aggregate demand," he added. 

7:01 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures edge lower 

Here's where markets were trading ahead of the opening bell:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 4,166.5, down 5 points or 0.12%

  • Dow futures (YM=F): 33,947.00, up 6 points or 0.02%

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 13,885.50, down 41.5 points or 0.3%

  • Crude (CL=F): -$1.03 (-1.66%) to $61.11 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$1.60 (+0.09%) to $1,779.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.1 bps to yield 1.588%

A trader makes a phone call outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 20, 2020 at Wall Street in New York City. - Wall Street stocks were mixed early July, 20, 2020 as markets awaited congressional debate on another round of stimulus spending and major earnings releases later in the week. (Photo by Johannes EISELE / AFP) (Photo by JOHANNES EISELE/AFP via Getty Images)
A trader makes a phone call outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 20, 2020 at Wall Street in New York City. - Wall Street stocks were mixed early July, 20, 2020 as markets awaited congressional debate on another round of stimulus spending and major earnings releases later in the week. (Photo by Johannes EISELE / AFP) (Photo by JOHANNES EISELE/AFP via Getty Images)

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter: @emily_mcck

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