Hyderabad: The tidal wave of Covid-19 Infections reported across the country, including in Telangana, during the second wave of the pandemic, can last at least three months until the end of June to reach a level where all sections of the population feel safe to resume normal life. believe researchers, data scientists and senior public health officials.
People need to be prepared for a long battle against the pandemic, at least until the end of June, public health officials and senior doctors from Hyderabad said the current infection trend.
“The next three months are crucial for us. I urge the public not to take risks unless it is inevitable. It is essential to wear masks, maintain hygiene and avoid mass gatherings at any cost, ”advises the director of public health, Dr G Srinivasa Rao.
A link of projections by epidemiologists, data scientists and research organizations in India and abroad generally indicated that the country could witness the peak of the second wave somewhere in the first or second week of May. However, it will take a few months from May before the cases and deaths gradually reach a plateau and then decrease.
‘Even though the peak will be reached in May, the cases and deaths will take a while to reach a level where we can have confidence to resume normal life. We can only do this if there is a public health system alert that includes genomic sequencing. With strict regional barriers, mask mandates, bans on large gatherings, restrictions on mobility between countries and increased vaccination, we can try to lower these projections. A monumental task lies ahead of us. Colossal mistakes were made by ignoring signs of this upsurge, ‘said Dr Bhramar Mukherjee, Professor of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, in a series of Twitter posts.
The Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, which manages the highly cited and respected ‘covid19.healthdata.org’, predicted that daily deaths, one of the most important indicators of the progression of the pandemic, in Telangana will peak by the end of May or the first week of June.
In the worst-case scenario forecasts, the IHME said daily deaths could peak by June and gradually decline by the end of July or the first week of August. For all of India, the IHME projections say that daily deaths will peak by mid-May and gradually begin to decline, reaching a low in July or last by the first week of August.
Source: Telangana Today