China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

GuruFocus.com
·4 min read

- By GF Value

The stock of China Yuchai International (NYSE:CYD, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $16 per share and the market cap of $653.7 million, China Yuchai International stock appears to be fairly valued. GF Value for China Yuchai International is shown in the chart below.


China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued
China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

Because China Yuchai International is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 8.5% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 5.81% annually over the next three to five years.

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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. China Yuchai International has a cash-to-debt ratio of 9999.00, which is in the bottom 10% of the companies in Industrial Products industry. The overall financial strength of China Yuchai International is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of China Yuchai International is poor. This is the debt and cash of China Yuchai International over the past years:

China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued
China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

It poses less risk to invest in profitable companies, especially those that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. A company with high profit margins is also typically a safer investment than one with low profit margins. China Yuchai International has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $2.7 billion and earnings of $1.962 a share. Its operating margin is 4.78%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Industrial Products industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks the profitability of China Yuchai International at 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of China Yuchai International over the past years:

China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued
China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of China Yuchai International is 8.5%, which ranks better than 68% of the companies in Industrial Products industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 2.7%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Industrial Products industry.

Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, China Yuchai International's return on invested capital is 0.00, and its cost of capital is 7.56. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of China Yuchai International is shown below:

China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued
China Yuchai International Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

To conclude, the stock of China Yuchai International (NYSE:CYD, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being fairly valued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Industrial Products industry. To learn more about China Yuchai International stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.