Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

GuruFocus.com
·4 min read

- By GF Value

The stock of Colliers International Group (NAS:CIGI, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $106.17 per share and the market cap of $4.3 billion, Colliers International Group stock shows every sign of being significantly overvalued. GF Value for Colliers International Group is shown in the chart below.


Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

Because Colliers International Group is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 3.9% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 4.22% annually over the next three to five years.

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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. Colliers International Group has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.14, which is worse than 68% of the companies in Real Estate industry. The overall financial strength of Colliers International Group is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Colliers International Group is poor. This is the debt and cash of Colliers International Group over the past years:

Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Colliers International Group has been profitable 9 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $2.8 billion and earnings of $1.17 a share. Its operating margin of 7.43% in the middle range of the companies in Real Estate industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Colliers International Group's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of Colliers International Group over the past years:

Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Colliers International Group is 3.9%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Real Estate industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 9.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Real Estate industry.

One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Colliers International Group's ROIC is 5.14 while its WACC came in at 9.21. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Colliers International Group is shown below:

Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Colliers International Group Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

In summary, Colliers International Group (NAS:CIGI, 30-year Financials) stock gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Real Estate industry. To learn more about Colliers International Group stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.