What’s driving the market?

Markets are headed modestly lower but appear to be taking in stride reports that Hwang’s Archegos Capital Management sold some $30 billion in holdings, momentarily sending shock waves throughout the market, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing people familiar with the matter.

Last Friday, the sales drove shares of Discovery DISCA and ViacomCBS VIAC to register their worst one-day declines on record, even as the broader market finished sharply higher to cap a turbulent trading week.

Global investment banks Credit Suisse Group CS and Nomura Holdings NMR on Monday said they were likely to take hit due to the volatility in the market but didn’t directly name Hwang’s fund.

“A significant U.S.-based hedge fund defaulted on margin calls made last week by Credit Suisse and certain other banks,” the Credit Suisse said. “Following the failure of the fund to meet these margin commitments, Credit Suisse and a number of other banks are in the process of exiting these positions.”

“It now appears, according to reports, that the sell-off was the result of a liquidation from a fund called Archegos Capital Management, after some its positions moved offside, raising some concerns about a trickle-down effect to other stocks,” wrote Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets. “We’ll see whether those concerns are well founded later today,” he wrote.

The buzz around the margin call comes at the start of a holiday-shortened week, as investors brace for a fresh round of volatility. Some markets will be closed in observance of Good Friday, including those in the U.S., and some European markets will remain closed next week for Easter Monday.

Meanwhile, investors were also watching news that tugs had partially dislodged the 1,300-foot MV Ever Given, operated by Taiwan-based Evergreen Group, which has been blocking the Suez Canal, one of the busiest trade waterways in the world. The blockage by the tanker has caused massive logjams. The removal of the ship could help to reopen the vital trade route that accounts for some 12% of global trade.

On the public-health front, the global coronavirus tally rose above 127 million on Monday, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University, with the U.S. accounting for a quarter of that number, at more than 30 million.

The death toll rose above 2.78 million with the U.S. accounting for about a fifth, or 549,335. The U.S. added at least 45,552 new cases on Sunday, according to a New York Times tracker, and at least 487 people died. 

Markets have been climbing unsteadily due to worries about a resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe that has forced extended lockdown periods, even as vaccine rollouts and some $1.9 trillion in COVID in the U.S. has helped to support the domestic economy, which has also been pushing benchmark bond yields higher.

Markets, however, have managed to hold fairly steady despite worries about the Suez blockage, concerns about the viral spread and the possibility of a financial market contagion.

“In a week that saw optimism and pessimism in equal measure, stock markets have proved to be fairly resilient in the face of a variety of factors, including extended lockdowns in Europe, vaccine nationalism, and the added wrinkle of the blockage in the Suez Canal, which now shows signs of being cleared in the next day or so,” CMC’s Hewson wrote.  

Which stocks are in focus?

• Southwest Airlines Co. LUV said Monday it has placed 100 firm orders for the Boeing 737 Max 7 with the first 30 of those aircraft to be delivered in 2022. As part of an agreement with Boeing BA, Southwest also converted 70 Max 8 firm orders to Max 7 firm orders and added 155 MAX options for MAX 7 or MAX 8 aircraft for years 2022 through 2029. 
• Cal-Maine Foods Inc. shares CALM fell 0.4% in premarket trade Monday, after the egg producer posted a far bigger-than-expected profit for its fiscal third quarter, offsetting a sales miss. 
• Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS and Morgan Stanley MS, which were reportedly part of the Hwang block trades, also were in focus early Monday.
• Moderna Inc. MRNA said it has shipped the 100 millionth dose of its COVID-19 vaccine to the U.S. government and expects to meet its commitment dates for all current orders. Its shares were down over 1%.
• Insurer The Allstate Corp. ALL  said Monday it expects to book a net loss of about $4 billion as it completes the exit of its life and annuity businesses. Allstate’s shares were up over 1%.

How are other assets faring?

• The 10-year Treasury note yieldBX:TMUBMUSD10Y was down a basis point to 1.650%. Bond prices move inversely to yields.
• The ICE U.S. Dollar index DXY, a benchmark of the dollar’s value versus its major rivals, was flat at 92.75.
• The Stoxx Europe 600 index XX:SXXP was up 0.3%, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 UK:UKX was down 0.3%. The Nikkei JP:NIK closed up 0.7%, and China’s CSI 300 index XX:000300 rose 0.2%.
• The U.S. crude benchmark CL was up 0.8% to $61.46 a barrel, on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices for gold futures GC00 were down 0.5% to $1,723.20 an ounce.