Ludhiana: As Covid-19 rages on, a Christian Medical College and Hospital (CMCH) finding indicates that the daily cases in Ludhiana district may cross the hitherto highest figure of over 560, registered in September last.
The CMCH did a study based on mathematical calculations and shared its details with the health department. It says that the second Covid-19 peak is likely to be more severe.
A doctor, who is a part of it, says the study has been done by preventive and social medicine department of CMCH and is to be shared with the government only. “As per the mathematical calculations, the peak in the state in general and Ludhiana in particular will remain till about April 6, after which there are chances of cases declining. But the decrease is likely to be slow and not drastic,” he adds.
“The calculations show that Ludhiana can witness a peak this and the next week till around April 6. As of now, it appears that the daily cases may break the last record,” he says.
The CMCH official says the graph will depend largely on the way the authorities enforce restrictions. “Closing of schools will help check spurt in cases. People should come forward and get themselves tested. It is not right to keep it a secret,” he adds.
A senior doctor at CMCH says people should not lower their guard.
“Coronavirus is a threat and it will affect children and younger population also. So, everyone needs to take care of themselves and each other by wearing a mask and following Covid appropriate behaviour. Those with symptoms should report to the nearest health institution, get themselves tested and self-isolate themselves till their reports come. Wearing a mask is a sewa (service). Punjabis are known for sewa, so they should do it,” says Dr Clarence Samuel, head of the department of preventive and social medicine.
Sept 16 saw highest case surge
During the previous year, the highest number of cases in a day in Ludhiana were reported on September 16, when the count was 562. A day later, 513 cases were reported.