ICICI Direct's currency report on USDINR
Spot Currency
After a few days of appreciation, the rupee witnessed some selling from its monthly highs and closed near 72.42 levels. Weakness was seen in most EM currencies • The dollar index on Tuesday rallied to a two-week high ahead of Jerome Powell’s testimony. The index reclaimed 92 levels as weakness in stocks on Tuesday increased the liquidity demand for the dollar.
Currency futures on NSE
Due to a sudden rise in the Dollar index the US$INR pair moved higher as most EM currencies depreciated. However, depreciation could be limited and the rupee is likely to trade in a range due to aggressive Call writing in OTM strikes and weakness in crude oil prices • The dollar-rupee March contract on the NSE was at Rs 72.54 in the last session. The open interest increased by almost 0.8% for the March series.
Intra-day strategy
US$INR Mar futures contract (NSE) | View: Bullish on US$INR |
Buy US$INR in the range of 72.48-72.50 | Market Lot: US$1000 |
Target: 72.65/ 72.75 | Stop Loss: 72.35 |
Support: 72.30/72.20 | Resistance: 72.60/72.90 |