NEW DELHI: The dovish stance of the Federal Reserve in its latest policy review pushed benchmark indices higher as Dalal Street bulls breathed a sigh of relief. Barring pharma and IT, all sectors traded in the green.
The US central bank kept the interest rate unchanged and reiterated its stance to keep benchmark rates near-zero levels through at least 2023. Meanwhile, the second wave of Covid cases in parts of the country, though not serious, is an area of concern, said analysts.
“The outcome of the
FOMC meet is very positive for equity markets.
Fed chief's comments that the accommodative monetary stance is appropriate and will continue through 2023 mean the ample liquidity conditions and low interest rate will sustain for an extended period of time," said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.
“A concern in India is the second wave of Covid attack in parts of the country, particularly in Maharashtra. But, going by experiences this is unlikely to impact the market much. The second wave in the US and Europe, much less in intensity, didn't impact markets."
Factors driving markets
- Fed meet: The Federal Reserve said on Wednesday that the US economy is on track for its fastest expansion in nearly 40 years, but its policymakers pledged to keep their foot on the gas despite an expected surge in inflation.
- Bond yield: US Treasuries yields on the longer end of the curve remained elevated, while yields on shorter-term debt fell on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve's views.
- US-China relations: Officials say the US will take an uncompromising stand in talks with China on Thursday in Alaska, in the first face-to-face meetings between senior officials from the two rivals since the US President Joe Biden took office.
How are the blue chips doing?
After opening in the green, benchmark indices maintained their lead. At 9:46 am, BSE flagship Sensex was up 421 points or 0.85 per cent to 50,222. NSE benchmark Nifty followed and advanced 137 points or 0.93 per cent to 14,858.
In the 50-share pack Nifty, Hindalco was the biggest gainer, up 2.90 per cent. Bajaj Finance, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Maruti Suzuki, L&T, ONGC, IndusInd Bank and M&M were among other gainers.
Infosys was the top loser in the pack, down 1.57 per cent. Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, Divi’s Laboratories, Britannia Industries and HCL Technologies were other losers in the pack.
Maruti among 10 stocks that may help you beat the Street
Money-making ideas
As benchmark indices remain volatile, analysts are recommending traders to be stock specific, avoid aggressive shorts and stay cautious. Besides the increasing Covid cases in certain parts of India, traders are also worried over the US 10-year yield which is firm at around 1.62%. All eyes are now glued on the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting tonight.
Here is a handpicked collection of 10 stocks that analysts believe can deliver impressive returns in the next few weeks:
Kotak Mahindra Bank | BUY | Target Price: Rs 2,050
Nifty Bank index in the last four weeks has witnessed a shallow retracement of its strong post Budget rally of more than 25%, thus forming a higher base for the next leg of up move. Within the banking space, the analyst remains constructive on Kotak Mahindra Bank as it is seen taking multiple support at its 50-day EMA (Rs 1,893) and the rising demand line joining lows since September 2020. Among the oscillators, the daily MACD is seen sustaining above its nine-period average, thus validating a positive bias. The analyst expects the stock to retest its all-time high of Rs 2,050 in the coming weeks. Maintain a stop loss at Rs 1,840 on a closing basis.
(Analyst: Dharmesh Shah, Head - Technical, ICICI direct)
Titan Company | BUY | Target Price: Rs 1,615
The share price of Titan remains in a structural up trend, forming higher peak and higher trough in the long term chart. Strong buying demand emerged at major breakout area of November 2020 and the 50% retracement of the previous up move (Rs 1,154-1,621), thus providing a fresh entry opportunity with a favourable risk reward set up. Currently, the stock has taken 10 weeks to retrace 50% of its previous up move of 9 weeks (Rs 1,154-Rs 1,621). Such slower pace of retracement indicates a robust price structure. The analyst expects the stock to head towards Rs 1,615 level in the coming weeks as it is the confluence of the previous all-time high of January 2021 and 123.6% external retracement of its immediate previous decline (Rs 1,588-Rs 1,396). Maintain a stop loss at Rs 1,418 on a closing basis
(Analyst: Dharmesh Shah, Head - Technical, ICICI direct)
L&T Infotech | BUY | Target Price: Rs 4,435
The IT index is resuming its fresh up move after taking a breather in the last two months. Midcap IT stocks are witnessing strong momentum and continuing their primary up trend. The share price of L&T Infotech has generated a breakout above the bullish flag pattern, signaling the resumption of a primary up trend and offering fresh entry opportunity. The stock's 100-day EMA acted as a strong support point in the entire up move since May 2020. The counter has recently rebounded taking support at its 20-week EMA, highlighting a robust price structure. Based on the above technical observations, the analyst expects the stock to continue its current positive momentum and head towards Rs 4,435 levels as it the 138.2% extension of the previous week up move (Rs 3,570 to Rs 4,015). The analyst recommends keeping a stop loss at Rs 3,890 on a closing basis.
(Analyst: Dharmesh Shah, Head - Technical, ICICI direct)
KEI Industries | BUY | Target Price: Rs 575
After moving into a sideways range over the last one month, the stock witnessed an up move on Tuesday and closed higher. This pattern indicate chances of a sharp upside breakout of the range of around Rs 525-550 levels. The weekly chart signals positive sequential movement like higher tops and bottoms. A further upside from here could form a new higher top of the sequence. Weekly 14-period RSI has turned up, which signals the strengthening of upside momentum in the stock. Buying can be initiated in KEI Industries Ltd at CMP (Rs 520.35), add more on dips down to Rs 500, according to the analyst who was a target of Rs 575 for the next 3-4 weeks. Place a stop loss at Rs 485.
(Analyst: Nagaraj Shetti, Technical Research Analyst, HDFC Securities)
Broader markets
Broader market indices traded with gains, outperforming their headline peers in morning trade. Nifty Smallcap was up 1.20 per cent while Nifty Midcap advanced 1.32 per cent. The broadest index on NSE -- the Nifty 500 -- was up 0.90 per cent.
BHEL, SAIL, Fortis Healthcare, Dixon Tech, Graphite India and Just Dial were among major gainers from the space, while Sonata Software, JK Lakshmi Cement, Affle India, Edelweiss Financial Services, SRF and Godrej Industries were under selling pressure.
Global markets
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.99 per cent, while stocks in China rose 0.46 per cent. Australia's market bucked the trend and fell 0.3 per cent.
E-mini futures for the S&P 500 advanced 0.3 per cent.
The S&P 500 closed at a record high on Wednesday and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 33,000 points for the first time, bolstered by the Fed's strong economic forecast and Powell's comments that it is too early to discuss tapering-off measures.