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Zoom earnings: Investors look for sales to surge 331% as work-from-home extends into early 2021

Emily McCormick
·Reporter
·3 min read
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Zoom Video Communications (ZM) is slated to report earnings after market close on Monday, with the video conferencing company's fourth-quarter results likely boosted by widespread stay-in-place orders at the end of last year.

However, investors will be even more closely monitoring to see how the company is preparing to face the gradual return of in-person activities later this year.

Here are the main metrics expected in Zoom's report, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg and the company's results in the same period last year:

  • Revenue: $811.04 million expected versus $188.25 million year-over-year

  • Adjusted earnings per share: 79 cents expected versus 15 cents year-over-year

At least in its fiscal fourth quarter, Zoom benefited from the social distancing behaviors still taking place nationwide. A spike in coronavirus cases around the holidays spurred renewed business restrictions and made many workplaces wary to reopen too soon in 2021, helping support the ongoing use of Zoom's services.

Still, growth likely slowed compared to earlier quarters in 2020, when the first waves of pandemic-induced lockdowns drove astronomical adoption of the platform. Zoom grew revenue in excess of 300% in each of the last two quarters, as the meeting software became the go-to platform for workplaces, friends and families to stay connected and schools to conduct remote learning. Customers with more than 10 employees jumped by 485% and 458%, respectively, in its October and July quarters.

UKRAINE - 2021/02/01: In this photo illustration a Zoom Video Communications, Inc. logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
UKRAINE - 2021/02/01: In this photo illustration a Zoom Video Communications, Inc. logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Sales are anticipated to rise 331% to $811.04 million in the three months ended in January. However, this would still mark a deceleration from the previous quarter's 367% top-line growth, and Zoom's guidance at the time for the fourth-quarter slowdown had led to a swift sell-off in December. Customers with more than 10 employees are expected to rise by 440% to nearly 442,600, which while impressive year-over-year, would also represent a slowdown from the past two quarters. The stock rose just 0.4% in February this year, sharply underperforming both the S&P 500 and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes.

And with workers and students set to return to offices and schools later this year, the specter of an even more marked deceleration has been a key concern, both for Zoom and other stocks comprising 2020's lucrative work-from-home trade.

At the same time, Zoom has also been expanding into new product categories to diversify the business outside of its flagship video conferencing service and offer a more comprehensive suite of workplace software. Zoom's two-year-old Zoom Phone cloud-based phone platform reached 1 million seats in January, and expanded its global coverage of the service to 44 countries.

This post will be updated with the results of Zoom's fourth quarter Monday after market close. Check back for updates.

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter: @emily_mcck

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