The definitive number of people infected with Kovid-19 may never be known in India, but the scientific community agrees that reducing the number of cases of the disease is a reality. Perhaps localized herd immunity can be credited to the collective disease resistance and the young population.
Scientists tried to understand the fluctuations in the number of cases of Kovid-19 in India. On Monday, 16,504 new cases of Kovid-19 were reported, which is six times less than 97,894 cases reported on 16 September.
Experts say that though there is a ray of hope and there is a steady decline in the number of cases of Kovid-19 in India and the vaccination program is important.
Shahid Jameel, director of Ashoka University's Trivedi School of Biosciences, said looking at India's Kovid graph, it is not a fixed number, but the fluctuation is significant.
He said that it is impossible and impractical to find out the exact number during the epidemic or it is difficult to tell until all have been investigated. He said that cases of Kovid-19 in the country have been steadily decreasing since reaching their peak in mid-September.
According to the national trend, the graph of Kovid-19 cases in Delhi also came down on Monday and 384 new cases were recorded which is the lowest in seven months and this has raised hopes that herd immunity may be established. Being herd immunity means cultivating the power to fight a virus in a large proportion of people.
Speaking to the media, Jamil said nothing has changed in the investigation or behavior since mid-September. Cases are decreasing. Satyajit Rath, a disease immunologist (immunologist) at the National Institute of Immunology (NII), New Delhi, said that although the real numbers can be judged well, the tendency to reduce the number of cases appears to be real and the spread of infection The rate is likely to be lower.
Lakshminarayan, founder and director of the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy in Washington, said India was more secure due to the young population where 65 percent of the country is under 35 years old and there is less chance of infection in this age groups.
Laxminarayan, however, cautioned that while the number of infections may naturally decline naturally in most states, it has been seen in many other countries in the past, where cases have increased.
Rath agreed with Laxminarayanan that the spread of the virus is not in the form of a uniform wave, but due to many variable local causes. Discussing a vaccine, Lakshminarayana said that everyone should get one dose, irrespective of whether there is infection of Kovid-19 in people or not.