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Deep Dive

These are the 20 worst-performing S&P 500 stocks of 2020 — analysts see double-digit rebounds for five of them in 2021

The action is concentrated in one sector

The crash in demand for oil during the pandemic has pushed Valero’s shares down 41% during 2020. Above, Valero’s Houston refinery.

Getty Images

(Updates story with year-end closing prices and consensus price targets.)

During the stock market’s March plunge, it may have been difficult for you to expect 2020 to end up as a good year for stocks, but incredibly low interest rates from the Federal Reserve, unprecedented federal spending to support the economy and investors’ enthusiasm for technology stocks did just that.

While many stocks did well, 198 of the S&P 500 Index’s US:SPX  components lost ground in 2020. Further down in this article, you’ll find a list of the 20 worst-performing S&P stocks. While Wall Street analysts remain downbeat on some of them for 2021, they foresee a significant recovery for others — particularly in one industry.

Here’s how the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 performed in 2020, as the benchmark rose 16.3%:

Index Price change - 2020
Information Technology 42.2%
Consumer Discretionary 32.1%
Communication Services 22.2%
Materials 18.1%
Health Care 11.4%
Industrials 9.0%
Consumer Staples 7.6%
Utilities -2.8%
Financials -4.1%
Real Estate -5.2%
Energy -37.3%
Source: FactSet

The coronavirus recession caused demand for oil to plummet, as the cruise industry has shut down and commercial air flights have plummeted. But production cuts have improved the balance between supply and demand. Here’s a chart showing continuous front-month futures quotes for West Texas crude oil this year:

FactSet

That’s a remarkable recovery; however, WTI still fell 21% in 2020. This explains why energy-sector companies make up more than half of the year’s list of the 20 worst-performing S&P 500 stocks through Dec. 28:

Company Ticker  Industry  Price change - 2020
 Occidental Petroleum Corp.  US:OXY    Oil & Gas Production  -58%
 Carnival Corp.  US:CCL    Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines  -57%
 Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.  US:NCLH    Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines  -56%
 TechnipFMC PLC  US:FTI    Oilfield Services/Equipment  -56%
 United Airlines Holdings Inc.  US:UAL    Airlines  -51%
 Marathon Oil Corp.  US:MRO    Oil & Gas Production  -51%
 Oneok Inc.  US:OKE    Oil & Gas Pipelines  -49%
 HollyFrontier Corp.  US:HFC    Oil Refining/Marketing  -49%
 Diamondback Energy Inc.  US:FANG    Oil & Gas Production  -48%
 Schlumberger NV  US:SLB    Oilfield Services/Equipment  -46%
 National Oilwell Varco Inc.  US:NOV    Oilfield Services/Equipment  -45%
 American Airlines Group Inc.  US:AAL    Airlines  -45%
 Apache Corp.  US:APA    Oil & Gas Production  -45%
 Royal Caribbean Group  US:RCL    Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines  -44%
 Wells Fargo & Company  US:WFC    Major Banks  -44%
 Vornado Realty Trust  US:VNO    Real Estate Investment Trusts  -44%
 Simon Property Group Inc.  US:SPG    Real Estate Investment Trusts  -43%
 Exxon Mobil Corp.  US:XOM    Integrated Oil  -41%
 EOG Resources Inc.  US:EOG    Oil & Gas Production  -40%
 Valero Energy Corp.  US:VLO    Oil Refining/Marketing  -40%
Source: FactSet

Scroll the table to see all the data.

You can click on the tickers for more about each company, including news coverage, charts, financial data and price ratios.

Here’s a summary of Wall Street analysts’ opinions about these stocks:

Company Ticker Share 'buy' ratings Share neutral ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - Dec. 31 Consensus price target Implied 12-month upside potential
 Occidental Petroleum Corp.  US:OXY   17% 66% 17% $17.31 $16.73 -3%
 Carnival Corp.  US:CCL   11% 68% 21% $21.66 $17.95 -17%
 Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.  US:NCLH   35% 59% 6% $25.43 $22.46 -12%
 TechnipFMC PLC  US:FTI   70% 23% 7% $9.40 $10.90 16%
 United Airlines Holdings Inc.  US:UAL   39% 44% 17% $43.25 $46.29 7%
 Marathon Oil Corp.  US:MRO   33% 54% 13% $6.67 $7.78 17%
 Oneok Inc.  US:OKE   32% 56% 12% $38.38 $37.30 -3%
 HollyFrontier Corp.  US:HFC   36% 53% 11% $25.85 $29.44 14%
 Diamondback Energy Inc.  US:FANG   90% 10% 0% $48.40 $60.03 24%
 Schlumberger NV  US:SLB   70% 27% 3% $21.83 $24.84 14%
 National Oilwell Varco Inc.  US:NOV   44% 40% 16% $13.73 $13.42 -2%
 American Airlines Group Inc.  US:AAL   18% 27% 55% $15.77 $11.36 -28%
 Apache Corp.  US:APA   39% 58% 3% $14.19 $16.00 13%
 Royal Caribbean Group  US:RCL   33% 50% 17% $74.69 $67.54 -10%
 Wells Fargo & Company  US:WFC   48% 48% 4% $30.18 $33.89 12%
 Vornado Realty Trust  US:VNO   23% 46% 31% $37.34 $41.55 11%
 Simon Property Group Inc.  US:SPG   35% 65% 0% $85.28 $92.00 8%
 Exxon Mobil Corp.  US:XOM   27% 61% 12% $41.22 $48.50 18%
 EOG Resources Inc.  US:EOG   74% 26% 0% $49.87 $63.47 27%
 Valero Energy Corp.  US:VLO   91% 4% 5% $56.57 $64.11 13%
Source: FactSet

So five of these companies have majority “buy” ratings, with analysts expecting the shares to rise by double digits over the next year. All are involved in oil or natural gas production or refining.

As always, if you see any stocks of interests, it’s important to do your own research to form your own opinion about a company’s prospects.

For more about 2020, click here for a list of this year’s best-performing stocks in the U.S. and here for a list of big winners that aren’t yet included in the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq-100 US:NDX  indexes.

Don’t miss:20 of analysts’ favorite large-cap stocks for 2021, including GM, Facebook and Salesforce