Analysis: How Trump won the economic message battle
Although judging a president’s economic efficiency may be tough as a result of there’s solely a lot he can management, Americans at massive, and voters particularly, appeared to agree with Trump.
If the economic system have been the solely factor that mattered, he in all probability would have won reelection.
Voters do not count on that kind of document from Trump’s successor, President-elect Joe Biden. Just 39% say Biden’s economic insurance policies will assist the nation, whereas 38% say they will damage.
Based solely on what the voters are saying, the economic system is not what value Trump a second time period. It’s virtually what acquired him a second time period throughout a pandemic for which Trump’s efficiency was panned by the voters.
Trump’s robust rankings on the economic system might be why he constantly tried to make the 2020 election about it. What he by no means appeared to get is that in a pandemic, it is extra than simply jobs that matter to voters.
Going again even additional, it is fairly clear that Trump’s document is seen as one in all the higher ones for a primary time period over the final 45 years.
A majority of voters (52%) stated they authorized of Trump’s economic efficiency in the Quinnipiac ballot. Other polling equally pegs Trump’s economic approval ranking at 50% or above.
Either approach, Trump’s economic approval ranking is larger than the different presidents who misplaced their bid for a second time period (Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush).
Ford’s 46% economic approval ranking in a CBS News ballot taken late in the 1976 marketing campaign is the highest of the group.
Carter’s was horrendous, with a mere 13% giving him a superb or good ranking on the economic system in a November 1980 ABC News ballot.
Bush frequently got here in with a sub-20% economic approval ranking in October 1992 polling.
Trump’s economic approval ranking is definitely way more just like these presidents who have been re-elected.
Ronald Reagan, who cruised to a second time period, had a 54% economic approval ranking in an October 1984 CBS News ballot.
Bill Clinton had a mean economic approval ranking of round 55% in October 1996.
Both George W. Bush in 2004 and Obama in 2012 truly had economic approval rankings in the low-to- mid 40s simply earlier than voters gave them one other 4 years.
Put one other approach: Trump’s economic approval ranking was truly higher than the two earlier presidents who have been re-elected.
In reality, ballot query after ballot query again in 2012 discovered that Obama misplaced on the economic system to Mitt Romney.
That’s just like what occurred this yr when Trump often bested Biden on who was trusted extra to deal with the economic system.
For neither Republican was it sufficient to win.
