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The Ratings Game

Peloton stock heads toward record after $420 million Precor deal

Peloton is adding manufacturing capacity and much more with its Pecor acquisition, analysts say.

Peloton

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Peloton Interactive Inc. PTON, +11.56% stock soared nearly 12% in Tuesday trading, heading toward a record close, after the fitness company announced a $420 million deal to acquire Precor, a global commercial fitness business.

The deal will establish 625,000 square feet of U.S. manufacturing capability for Peloton, which has struggled to keep up with demand throughout the coronavirus pandemic.

It also adds nearly 100 research-and-development professionals to Peloton’s team.

Analysts zero in on the business development doors that the acquisition will open.

See: Lowe’s bulks up on fitness brands heading into the holidays

“We applaud the move as a good use of balance sheet capacity (vs. chasing other Connected Fitness verticals) that should bolster the supply chain (adding U.S. manufacturing/R&D), expand the TAM [total addressable market], and perhaps accelerate international market expansion,” wrote Baird analysts in a note.

Peloton highlighted the commercial business opportunities in its announcement. Baird estimates that the market for commercial fitness equipment sales is more than $3.4 billion globally.

Precor is based in Seattle, but is a division of Amer Sports, a Finnish sporting goods business. Precor has offices across the globe, including Europe and Asia.

“Our continued positive stance reflects Peloton’s open-ended long-term growth potential combined with multiple near-term drivers,” analysts led by Jonathan Komp said.

“We believe the company has a large and rapidly expanding addressable market and enviable competitive positioning that can help to capture a more than $6 billion revenue opportunity by F2023.”

Also: Here are the companies set for growth from the boom in demand for e-bikes

Baird rates Peloton stock outperform with a $165 price target, up from $150.

“The addition of Precor should help augment early efforts in hotels, multifamily residences, and college/corporate (we note that the release omitted mention of health clubs),” wrote KeyBanc Capital Markets analysts led by Edward Yruma.

“Commercial applications require devices designed around materially higher usage, and Precor’s expertise should be highly additive.”

With regards to the enhanced manufacturing capability, KeyBanc also mentions a North Carolina facility spanning 230,000 square feet, which is “state-of-the-art and has particular focus on strength (a key area of interest for Peloton.”

Peloton is best known for its interactive platform and its bikes and treadmills.

KeyBanc rates Peloton shares overweight with a $185 price target, up from $160.

Read: Academy Sports CEO says hobbies acquired during COVID will continue to drive sales in 2021

The deal is expected to close in early 2021 with U.S.-based manufacturing expected to ramp up before the end of the year.

“It remains to be seen whether the supply/demand imbalance persists at this point, but we would assume that Precor’s capacity is far from being fully utilized given a lack of equipment orders from commercial customers,” wrote Wedbush analysts led by James Hardiman.

Wedbush anticipates improvement in order delivery lead times, which has been “unacceptable, especially during the holiday season.”

Wedbush rates Peloton stock outperform with a $160 price target, up from $130.

Peloton’s price target was also raised at Stifel, up to $160 from $144, with a buy stock rating.

Peloton  stock has skyrocketed a whopping 468% in 2020. The benchmark S&P 500 index SPX, -0.05% is up 14.2% for the period.