July-October is the peak shipping season when US retailers rush to bring in merchandise for the winter holidays each year. US ports covered by Global Port Tracker handled an estimated 8.1 million TEU during the four-month period this year, said the report released by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates. While subject to revision once October numbers become final, that would be an increase of 6.1 per cent over last year and would beat the previous record of 7.7 million TEU set in 2018.
The peak season record includes a record 2.11 million TEU imported in September, the latest month for which after-the-fact numbers are available. That was a 12.5 per cent year-over-year increase and 0.1 per cent higher than August’s previous record of 2.1 million TEU for the largest number of containers imported in a single month since NRF began tracking imports in 2002.
October imports were estimated at 2 million TEU, up 6.5 per cent year-over-year and the fourth-highest month on record. With most holiday merchandise already in the country, November is forecast at 1.7 million TEU, up 0.2 per cent year-over-year, and December is forecast at 1.58 million TEU, down 8.2 per cent from last year.
“Peak season is the Superbowl of the supply chain world each year as retailers make sure they have enough merchandise on hand to satisfy demand during the holidays, and this is the busiest we’ve ever seen,” NRF vice president for Supply Chain and Customs Policy Jonathan Gold said. “Part of this surge was fuelled by restocking after retail sales rebounded this summer and part could be making sure there aren’t shortages if we see panic buying again. The economic challenges of the pandemic aren’t over yet, but this clearly shows how an industry that has been under stress is fighting back in a positive way. Retailers don’t import merchandise they don’t think they can sell, so this is a good sign for the holiday season.”
“As we near the end of a difficult year in terms of health, trade and politics, we have witnessed record-breaking statistics that have been virtually unpredictable,” Hackett Associates founder Ben Hackett said. “Imports hit all-time highs this summer and online shopping did the same. Whether similar patterns will continue in the coming months will be influenced to a large extent by the coronavirus pandemic and whether it will be brought under control by the arrival of expected vaccines next year.”
Despite the new monthly records, 2020 is expected to total 20.9 million TEU, a drop of 3.4 per cent from last year and the lowest annual total since 20.5 million TEU in 2017. The first half of 2020 totalled 9.5 million TEU, down 10.1 per cent from last year.
January 2021 is forecast at 1.75 million TEU, down 3.7 per cent from January 2020; February at 1.52 million TEU, up 0.9 per cent year-over-year, and March at 1.59 million TEU, up 15.7 per cent from March 2020 – the month the pandemic first fully hit the United States while factories in China remained closed by the pandemic there.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RKS)