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Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Ballard Power Systems Inc. (TSE:BLDP) After Its Latest Results

Simply Wall St
·4 min read

Ballard Power Systems Inc. (TSE:BLDP) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It was a pretty negative result overall, with revenues of US$26m missing analyst predictions by 7.4%. Additionally, the business reported a statutory loss of US$0.05 per share, larger than the analysts had forecast prior to the result. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Ballard Power Systems

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Ballard Power Systems from nine analysts is for revenues of US$137.2m in 2021 which, if met, would be a solid 17% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 38% to US$0.13. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$151.9m and US$0.12 per share in losses. So it's pretty clear consensus is more negative on Ballard Power Systems after the new consensus numbers; while the analysts trimmed their revenue estimates, they also administered a per-share loss expectations.

There was no major change to the consensus price target of US$23.94, signalling that the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite lower earnings per share forecasts. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Ballard Power Systems, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$34.85 and the most bearish at US$27.27 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Ballard Power Systems' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 17% revenue growth noticeably faster than its historical growth of 11%p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 7.8% next year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Ballard Power Systems to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Ballard Power Systems. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Ballard Power Systems going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Even so, be aware that Ballard Power Systems is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.