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Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On MGM Resorts International's (NYSE:MGM) Third-Quarter Report

Simply Wall St
·4 mins read

MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Revenues came in at US$1.1b, missing analyst expectations by 13%. Statutory losses per share fell slightly short, coming in at US$1.08, 2.0% below what the analysts had predicted. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on MGM Resorts International after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for MGM Resorts International

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from MGM Resorts International's 17 analysts is for revenues of US$9.51b in 2021, which would reflect a solid 9.2% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to tip over into lossmaking territory, with the analysts forecasting statutory losses of -US$1.06 per share in 2021. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$9.82b and losses of US$0.90 per share in 2021. While next year's revenue estimates dropped there was also a loss per share expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view on the stock.

The average price target was broadly unchanged at US$21.62, perhaps implicitly signalling that the weaker earnings outlook is not expected to have a long-term impact on the valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values MGM Resorts International at US$30.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$15.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting MGM Resorts International's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 9.2% growth ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 6.6% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 22% per year. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, MGM Resorts International is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$21.62, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for MGM Resorts International going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for MGM Resorts International you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.